San Rafael 94901 · APN 016-302-21 · San Rafael
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 1 homes completed, 2 permitted, 14 proposed or in review (1 of them deed-restricted affordable).
4 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
38 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$1,482,000
Benchmark range: $1,260,000 – $1,704,000
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
We don't have building permits for San Rafael, so we can't show what has been permitted nearby.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Rafael's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Oct 29, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of R10 as single-family residential, from the code's name only
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 5 yr (first record Nov 10, 2021), with no completion or new permit record in 5 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 8.6 yr (since Mar 23, 2018), with no new permit record in 8.6 yr. · 1 unit
Permit issued and active for 8.8 yr (first record Dec 27, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 8.5 yr. · 1 unit · $1,498,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 8.2 yr (since Aug 28, 2018), with no new permit record in 8.2 yr. · 1 unit
In "Applied" for 7.6 yr (since Mar 6, 2019), with no new permit record in 7.6 yr. · 1 unit · $168,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 6.4 yr (since Jun 3, 2020), with no new permit record in 6.4 yr. · 1 unit
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (10 Morgan Ln): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 94603 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,376,137 in September 2025 to $1,394,155 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94901 (not a parcel appraisal)
14 units · 1 affordable
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94901 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,415,574 in September 2024 to $1,376,137 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94901 (not a parcel appraisal)
100 Summit Ave (Adu 100a) · 1 unit · $100,000 valuation
Records span Aug 25, 2023 to Aug 11, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1 Morgan Ln (Adu 1a) · 1 unit · $65,000 valuation
Records span May 31, 2023 to Mar 12, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94901 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,407,895 in September 2023 to $1,415,574 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94901 (not a parcel appraisal)
53 Moncada Way (Aka 53a) · 1 unit · $300,000 valuation
Records span Jun 7, 2023 to Dec 12, 2023 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
53 Moncada Way · 1 unit · $6,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94901 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,475,874 in September 2022 to $1,407,895 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94901 (not a parcel appraisal)
8 Moncada Way (Aka 10) · 1 unit · $450,000 valuation
Records span Aug 29, 2022 to Apr 26, 2023 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
40 Montecito Rd (Aka 40a) · 1 unit · $2,515,850 valuation
Records span Jul 16, 2021 to Dec 12, 2022 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
135 Montecito Rd · 1 unit · $465,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Rafael development graph →Active in "Issued" for 5 yr (first record Nov 10, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 5 yr.
Active in "Issued" for 8.8 yr (first record Dec 27, 2017) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.5 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,498,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 5.3 yr (first record Jul 16, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.9 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $2,515,850 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 6.1 yr (first record Sep 17, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 6.1 yr.
Active in "Entitled" for 8.6 yr (first record Mar 23, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.6 yr.
Active in "Entitled" for 6.4 yr (first record Jun 3, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 6.4 yr.
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94901
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($14,800/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,220/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$80,229/yr
Cash needed: $325,600
NOI: $9,575/yr
P&I: $7,484/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,125/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,875/mo | −$7,045/mo | -26.0% | $12,709/mo | −$7,053/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,125/mo | −$6,686/mo | -24.6% | $11,763/mo | −$6,516/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,313/mo | −$6,479/mo | -23.9% | $11,490/mo | −$6,108/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Issued1 unitsNov 10, 2021 – Nov 10, 2021
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
No building permits are recorded for this parcel since 2016.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | —(B2107-186) | ADU · Renter | — | 1 (Nov 10, 2021) | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Rafael's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
0.30 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
21A BAY WAY; 21 BAY WAY
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Search by parcel number 016-302-21. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 016-302-21 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.