15 A Horse Hill Ln
Mill Valley 94941 · Alto · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 37.90714, -122.51805
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned RA-B2 in Unincorporated Marin with likely ministerial ADU eligibility and zero mapped flood, fire, or fault hazard overlaps; benchmark value $2,390,000 ($2,103,000–$2,677,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ Ministerial ADU / JADU pathway likely eligible
Zone RA-B2 allows residential use qualifying for ministerial ADU review under state law (9 ADU permits permitted within ¼ mile in 36 months).
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314
- ✓ Documented permitted upgrades (+$228,800 contributory est.)
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (1 total permit, latest Sep 15, 2023).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! Mapped flood awareness zone (Zone X: minimal flood hazard)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! 6 slow or stalled nearby projects within ½ mile
Closest lead: New home at 55 Thomas Dr (0.33 mi E, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
- ! Year 1 Prop 13 tax reset (~$27,935/yr at $2,390,000)
Sale triggers reassessment to 1.00% base + ~0.15% voter debt (~$2,328/mo). Confirm exact Mello-Roos / CFD special assessments on the county tax bill.
Source: CA Const. Art. XIIIA (Prop 13) · County Tax Collector
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 10,280 sq ft (0.24 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 15A HORSE HILL LN; 15 HORSE HILL LN
Zoning & Land Use
RA-B2 — Residential Agriculture (Unincorporated Marin)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADULikely eligible
Zoned RA-B2 (single-family residential): state law allows ADUs where homes are allowed.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotCan't tell
Zoned RA-B2 (single-family residential): we can't tell whether it counts as a single-family zone for SB 9. Residential agriculture, estate and restricted: large-lot residential; confirm SB 9 with the county.
- SB 9: split into two lotsCan't tell
Zoned RA-B2 (single-family residential): we can't tell whether it counts as a single-family zone for SB 9. Residential agriculture, estate and restricted: large-lot residential; confirm SB 9 with the county.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- Not in a State-mapped fire hazard severity zone
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone X: minimal flood hazard (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0467F, effective March 16, 2016
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $2,103,000 – $2,677,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94941) · FY 2026
Studio $2,730 · 1BR $3,270 · 2BR $3,960 · 3BR $5,060 · 4BR $5,240
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- New home at 55 Thomas Dr (Applied)0.33 mi E
In "Applied" for 6.2 yr (since Sep 1, 2020), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121). High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- New home at 30 Shell Rd (Issued)300 ft SW
Active in "Issued" for 2.4 yr (first record Jul 5, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 22 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $2,800,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 55 Plaza Dr (adu 55a) (Issued)0.19 mi S
Active in "Issued" for 2.6 yr (first record Apr 17, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 19 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $790,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 39 Lomita Dr (Applied)160 ft W
In "Applied" for 2.7 yr (since Mar 4, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Will Beyerbach Construction (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion)); Owner Builder (33 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Owner (19 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Drosihn Construction (6 in ½ mi · New single-family home); Kurt Jehling Construction (4 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (1 permits, 1 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174988 | Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | Issued | Iss. Sep 15, 2023 | $54,300 | C O U (E) Garage To A D U |
State HCD Housing Element APR records on this parcel: 2 entries (report years 2023, 2024).