51 Bay Vista Dr
Mill Valley 94941 · Strawberry · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 37.90077, -122.50721
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned R1-B2 in Unincorporated Marin with likely ADU & SB 9 infill eligibility and zero mapped flood, fire, or fault hazard overlaps; benchmark value $2,279,000 ($2,006,000–$2,552,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ ADU & SB 9 infill pathways screen as likely eligible
Zoned R1-B2 supports ministerial ADU/JADU review plus SB 9 both two-unit development and ministerial urban lot split on a 14,680 sq ft lot. Local precedent is active with 8 ADU permits within ¼ mile over the last 36 months.
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314 & 65852.21
- ✓ 2 documented municipal building permits on file
On-parcel permit history is indexed through May 20, 2015, letting you verify roof, HVAC, electrical, or structural work against seller disclosures.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
- ✓ Above-average reinvestment in Strawberry
43 substantial renovation & housing permits over 24 months (28.4 per 1,000 parcels vs. 16.4 citywide baseline) (#1 of 22 neighborhoods).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (Strawberry)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! Mapped flood awareness zone (Zone X: minimal flood hazard)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! 6 slow or stalled nearby projects within ½ mile
Closest lead: New home at 55 Thomas Dr (0.44 mi NW, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
- ! Year 1 Prop 13 tax reset (~$26,659/yr at $2,279,000)
Sale triggers reassessment to 1.00% base + ~0.15% voter debt (~$2,222/mo). Confirm exact Mello-Roos / CFD special assessments on the county tax bill.
Source: CA Const. Art. XIIIA (Prop 13) · County Tax Collector
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 14,680 sq ft (0.34 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 51 BAY VISTA DR
Zoning & Land Use
R1-B2 — Residential Single Family (Unincorporated Marin)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADULikely eligible
Zoned R1-B2 (single-family residential): state law allows ADUs where homes are allowed.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotLikely eligible
Zoned R1-B2, a single-family residential zone.
- SB 9: split into two lotsLikely eligible
Zoned R1-B2, a single-family residential zone. The lot is 14,680 sq ft by the assessor, room for two lots of at least 1,200 sq ft, each at least 40% of the original.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- Not in a State-mapped fire hazard severity zone
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone X: minimal flood hazard (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0469F, effective March 16, 2016
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $2,006,000 – $2,552,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94941) · FY 2026
Studio $2,730 · 1BR $3,270 · 2BR $3,960 · 3BR $5,060 · 4BR $5,240
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- New home at 55 Thomas Dr (Applied)0.44 mi NW
In "Applied" for 6.2 yr (since Sep 1, 2020), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121). High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- New home at 9 Sky Rd (Issued)440 ft N
Active in "Issued" for 12.4 yr (first record Jun 23, 2014) with no new permit activity recorded in 11.6 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,200,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- New commercial building at 118 E Strawberry Dr (Applied)0.2 mi S
Active in "Applied" for 8.1 yr (first record Oct 3, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.1 yr. High-impact scale ($1,600,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- New home at 153 Richardson Dr (adu 153a) (Issued)0.21 mi S
Active in "Issued" for 3.4 yr (first record Jun 5, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 16 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,493,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Quick (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Solar / battery storage); Owner Builder (61 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Owner (30 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Juan Calmell (9 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Pacific Construction (5 in ½ mi · Commercial tenant improvement).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (2 permits, 0 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147187 | Solar / battery storage | Issued | Iss. May 20, 2015 | $7,000 | Rf Mtd P V Sys K W - Express |
| 147186 | Solar / battery storage | Issued | Iss. May 20, 2015 | $7,000 | Grnd Mtd P V Sys 6.6 K W - Express |