Mill Valley 94941 · Muir Woods Park · APN 045-151-24 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned R1-B2 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $2,305,000 ($2,028,000–$2,582,000).
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (6 total permits, latest Jul 29, 2023).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 2 homes completed, 1 permitted.
3 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
99 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$2,305,000
Benchmark range: $2,028,000 – $2,582,000
Remodel / interior alteration (89419): Pending in review for 4.8 yr (21.2× the 83d median) — slower than 90% of remodel / interior alteration permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 83d, 90th pct 266d, n=1,054).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 65 Ridge Ave (0.32 mi SE, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of R1-B2 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 14.9 yr (first record Dec 27, 2011), with no completion or new permit record in 11.9 yr. · 1 unit · $350,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 11.8 yr (first record Jan 13, 2015), with no completion or new permit record in 11.8 yr. · $3,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 5.1 yr (since Oct 15, 2021), with no new permit record in 4.6 yr. · 1 unit · $182,750 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 4 yr (since Oct 27, 2022), with no new permit record in 4 yr. · 1 unit · $3,000,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 4.7 yr (first record Feb 22, 2022), with no completion or new permit record in 3.4 yr. · 1 unit
Permit issued and active for 4.6 yr (first record Apr 21, 2022), with no completion or new permit record in 2 yr. · 1 unit · $1,329,450 declared valuation
Nearby other (5 Ridge Ave): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49007 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
50 Mountain Ln · 1 unit · $660,000 valuation
Records span Sep 23, 2022 to Oct 21, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,980,059 in September 2025 to $2,181,389 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
473 Panoramic Hwy (A D U 473a) · 1 unit
Records span Aug 21, 2025 to Nov 19, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,042,452 in September 2024 to $1,980,059 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
526 Panoramic Hwy · 1 unit · $1,329,450 valuation
Records span Apr 21, 2022 to Oct 25, 2024 (2 permits).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,038,275 in September 2023 to $2,042,452 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,149,518 in September 2022 to $2,038,275 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
Roof replacement permit application filed (B34907)
Current status: Issued
remove existing torch down roof membrane and install new 3 ply torch down roof system — ReRoofing · Declared valuation: $25,000 · Contractor: Gramajo Roofing
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Roof replacement permit issued (B34907)
Recorded status: Issued
remove existing torch down roof membrane and install new 3 ply torch down roof system — ReRoofing · Declared valuation: $25,000 · Contractor: Gramajo Roofing
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
25 Palm Way · 1 unit
Records span Feb 22, 2022 to Jun 15, 2023 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Electrical / panel permit application filed (B33652)
Current status: Issued
Install 2-250v 20a and 1-120v 15a circuits to septic control panel. Install remote alarm in residence for septic system. — New Circuits / Outlets · Declared valuation: $1,200 · Contractor: Plum Electrical
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Electrical / panel permit issued (B33652)
Recorded status: Issued
Install 2-250v 20a and 1-120v 15a circuits to septic control panel. Install remote alarm in residence for septic system. — New Circuits / Outlets · Declared valuation: $1,200 · Contractor: Plum Electrical
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Solar / battery storage permit application filed (B33447)
Current status: Issued
Install roof mount solar at 4.8 kW and batteries · Declared valuation: $21,100 · Contractor: Tesla Energy Operations Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →In "Applied" for 4 yr (since Oct 27, 2022), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121). High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $3,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Pending in review for 4.8 yr (21.2× the 83d median) — slower than 90% of remodel / interior alteration permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 83d, 90th pct 266d, n=1,054).
Active in "Issued" for 4.6 yr (first record Apr 21, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 2 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,329,450 declared valuation across 2 permits).
In "Applied" for 5.1 yr (since Oct 15, 2021), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Issued after 7 mo (2.5× the 83d median) — above the 75th percentile for remodel / interior alteration permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 83d, 75th pct 148d, n=1,054).
Active in "Issued" for 14.9 yr (first record Dec 27, 2011) with no new permit activity recorded in 11.9 yr.
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gramajo Roofing | Roof replacement | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $25,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Sandra Bird Designs | Remodel / interior alteration | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $25,000 | 1 vs 3 prior |
| Tesla Energy Operations | Solar / battery storage | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $21,100 |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94941
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($23,050/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($3,458/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$133,434/yr
Cash needed: $507,100
NOI: $6,430/yr
P&I: $11,655/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,950/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,634/mo | −$11,573/mo | -27.4% | $19,789/mo | −$11,624/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,950/mo | −$11,119/mo | -26.3% | $18,316/mo | −$10,946/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $4,187/mo | −$10,859/mo | -25.7% | $17,891/mo | −$10,431/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
remove existing torch down roof membrane and install new 3 ply torch down roof system — ReRoofing
Install 2-250v 20a and 1-120v 15a circuits to septic control panel. Install remote alarm in residence for septic system. — New Circuits / Outlets
Install roof mount solar at 4.8 kW and batteries
Remodel: Staircase, Reconfigure Walls; Add Electrical; [N] Windows & [N] Doors
Kitchen Remodel T.D. 2-3-22
Gas house line extension. Approx 100' — New Gas Service
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
0.68 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
12 ST JUDE RD
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 045-151-24. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 045-151-24 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| Arb | Other | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $5,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Plum Electrical | Electrical / panel | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $1,200 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 50 Mountain Ln (Oct 21, 2026) | Remodel / interior alteration | 29 in ½ mi | $3,866,800 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Owner Recent nearby: 526 Panoramic Hwy (Oct 25, 2024) | Remodel / interior alteration | 10 in ½ mi | $1,923,250 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Vida Building Recent nearby: 455 Panoramic Hwy (Nov 7, 2023) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $668,420 | 3 vs 2 prior |
| D3 Consult Design Build Recent nearby: 5 Walsh Dr (Aug 12, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $105,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Robert Federighi Recent nearby: 12 Dipsea Trl (Feb 24, 2021) | Addition (adds square footage) | 2 in ½ mi | $59,946 | 0 vs 3 prior |
| 316 |
| 103d |
| 160d |
| 249d |
| 440d |
| 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alterationOn this parcel | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| Solar / battery storageOn this parcel | 2,977 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 2d | 0d |
| Roof replacementOn this parcel | 3,663 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.