Mill Valley 94941 · Tamalpais · APN 049-032-16 · Unincorporated Marin
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 1 homes completed, 7 permitted, 6 proposed or in review; 1 demolition.
15 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
464 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$2,195,000
Benchmark range: $1,932,000 – $2,458,000
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 30, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Oct 30, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of R1-B2 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Applied" for 10 mo (since Dec 22, 2025), with no new permit record in 10 mo. · 1 unit
Permit issued and active for 12.4 yr (first record Jun 23, 2014), with no completion or new permit record in 10.5 yr. · 1 unit · $550,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 10.2 yr (first record Aug 15, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 9.9 yr. · 1 unit · $900,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 10.5 yr (first record Apr 25, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 9.5 yr. · 1 unit · $590,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.4 yr (first record May 22, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 8.8 yr. · 1 unit · $98,700 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 7.5 yr (first record May 14, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 7.4 yr. · $10,000 declared valuation
Nearby roof replacement (546 Fairview Ave): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48831 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,980,059 in September 2025 to $2,181,389 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
543 Northern Ave · 1 unit · $188,000 valuation
Records span Dec 30, 2025 to Jun 17, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
3 Leo Ln · 1 unit
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
916 Valley View Ln · 1 unit · $5,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
81 Skyline Ter · 1 unit · $85,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
522 Northern Ave (A D U 523 Shasta Ave) · 1 unit · $150,000 valuation
Records span Sep 3, 2025 to Apr 16, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
526 Alta Way · 1 unit · $550,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
934 N Vernal Ave (A D U 934 A) · 1 unit · $300,000 valuation
Records span Sep 22, 2025 to Mar 10, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
General repair permit application filed (93896)
Current status: Applied
Retaining Walls
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
100 Loring Ave · 1 unit · $200,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) permit application filed (93846)
Current status: Applied
Detached A D U; Storage/Mechanical; Decks
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
375 N Ferndale Ave · $5,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,042,452 in September 2024 to $1,980,059 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
731 Bay Rd · 1 unit · $955,000 valuation
Records span May 12, 2025 to Aug 20, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Active in "Applied" for 3.2 yr (first record Aug 10, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.2 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $975,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 10.2 yr (first record Aug 15, 2016) with no new permit activity recorded in 9.9 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $900,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 18 mo (first record May 12, 2025) with no new permit activity recorded in 14 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $955,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 4 yr (first record Oct 19, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.3 yr.
Active in "Applied" for 2.6 yr (first record Apr 8, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.6 yr.
Active in "Issued" for 6.7 yr (first record Feb 11, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 6.7 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 2,439 parcels
+0.0% YoY
City baseline: 16.5 / 1k
50 in trailing 24m
Includes 14 ADUs
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94941
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($21,950/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($3,293/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
−$125,494/yr
Cash needed: $482,900
NOI: $7,695/yr
P&I: $11,099/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,950/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,634/mo | −$10,912/mo | -27.1% | $18,865/mo | −$10,954/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,950/mo | −$10,458/mo | -26.0% | $17,461/mo | −$10,276/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $4,187/mo | −$10,197/mo | -25.3% | $17,056/mo | −$9,761/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Applied1 unitsDec 22, 2025 – Dec 22, 2025
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
Retaining Walls
Detached A D U; Storage/Mechanical; Decks
re-roof 26SQ tear off install GAF Shingles and installation of 2 sky lights — ReRoofing
Electrical service replacement. — Service Upgrade, EV Charging Station
SPOT REPAIR ON SEWER LATERAL — Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s)
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 30, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 30, 2026
0.30 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
812A CHAMBERLAIN CT; 812 CHAMBERLAIN CT
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 30, 2026
Search by parcel number 049-032-16. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 049-032-16 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.