Novato 94945 · Green Point · APN 143-370-15 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned ARP-2 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE moderate fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $1,349,000 ($1,187,000–$1,511,000).
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (9 total permits, latest Nov 9, 2026).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 1 permitted, 2 proposed or in review.
3 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
68 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$1,349,000
Benchmark range: $1,187,000 – $1,511,000
Other (179578): Issued after 2 mo — above the 75th percentile for other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 75th pct 1d, n=1,560).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 50 Lockton Ln (0.3 mi SW, issued). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of ARP-2 as agricultural, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 8.9 yr (first record Dec 14, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 8.5 yr. · 1 unit · $450,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.9 yr (first record Dec 14, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 8.5 yr. · 1 unit · $250,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.7 yr (first record Feb 21, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 8.5 yr. · 1 unit · $1,090,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.2 yr (first record Aug 23, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 8.1 yr. · 1 unit · $35,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 2.4 yr (since Jul 2, 2024), with no new permit record in 2.4 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 2 yr (since Nov 13, 2024), with no new permit record in 2 yr. · 1 unit
Plumbing / water heater / sewer (B49058): First appeared in published agency feed
Detected between upstream data snapshots
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s)
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff window
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit application filed (B49058)
Current status: Issued
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s) · Declared valuation: $5,250 · Contractor: Moore Home Services
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit issued (B49058)
Recorded status: Issued
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s) · Declared valuation: $5,250 · Contractor: Moore Home Services
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Nearby roof replacement (146 Crest Rd): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48995 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (204 Crest Rd): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48961 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Plumbing / water heater / sewer (B48949): First appeared in published agency feed
Detected between upstream data snapshots
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s); Replace Mechanical Appliance
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff window
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit application filed (B48949)
Current status: Issued
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s); Replace Mechanical Appliance · Declared valuation: $12,525 · Contractor: Moore Home Services
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit issued (B48949)
Recorded status: Issued
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s); Replace Mechanical Appliance · Declared valuation: $12,525 · Contractor: Moore Home Services
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Roof replacement permit application filed (B48622)
Current status: Issued
ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection · Declared valuation: $6,400 · Contractor: Wedge Roofing Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Roof replacement permit issued (B48622)
Recorded status: Issued
ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection · Declared valuation: $6,400 · Contractor: Wedge Roofing Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,053,344 in September 2025 to $1,063,156 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94945 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94945 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,073,876 in September 2024 to $1,053,344 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94945 (not a parcel appraisal)
Other permit issued (179578)
Recorded status: Issued
Remove/Replace Decks And Stairs In Kind · Declared valuation: $128,975 · Contractor: James S Clough Enterprises Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Other permit application filed (179578)
Current status: Issued
Remove/Replace Decks And Stairs In Kind · Declared valuation: $128,975 · Contractor: James S Clough Enterprises Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
200 Atherton Ave (Adu 200a) · 1 unit · $200,000 valuation
Records span Feb 8, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Active in "Issued" for 8.7 yr (first record Feb 21, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.5 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,090,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
In "Applied" for 2.4 yr (since Jul 2, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Issued after 2 mo — above the 75th percentile for other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 75th pct 1d, n=1,560).
In "Applied" for 4.3 yr (since Jul 8, 2022), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Entitled" for 2 yr (since Nov 13, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Active in "Issued" for 8.2 yr (first record Aug 23, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.1 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 411 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
2 in trailing 24m
Includes 1 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemico | Windows / doors / siding | 3 on parcel3 in ½ mi | $88,062 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Wedge Roofing | Roof replacement | 2 on parcel2 in ½ mi | $34,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Moore Home Services | Plumbing / water heater / sewer | 2 on parcel2 in ½ mi | $17,775 | 0 |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94945
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($13,500/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,025/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$73,327/yr
Cash needed: $297,000
NOI: $8,589/yr
P&I: $6,826/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,000/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,760/mo | −$6,455/mo | -26.1% | $11,771/mo | −$6,469/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,000/mo | −$6,111/mo | -24.7% | $10,895/mo | −$5,954/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,180/mo | −$5,913/mo | -23.9% | $10,642/mo | −$5,563/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s)
Replace Plumbing Fixtures(s); Replace Mechanical Appliance
ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection
Remove/Replace Decks And Stairs In Kind
Replace 2 retrofit patio doors — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement
Replace 5 retrofit windows & 1 retrofit patio door. — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement
Replace 1 retrofit window & 1 retrofit patio door. — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement
Remove existing 35 squares roof down to sheathing. install sheathing over skipped sheathing prepare for new roof. Install GAF Lifetime HD Shingles. — ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection
Bath Rmdl Express
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
0.69 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
155 CREST RD
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 143-370-15. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 143-370-15 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| James S Clough Enterprises | Other | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $128,975 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Egan Agape Construction | Remodel / interior alteration | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $30,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Tj Built Construction Recent nearby: 33 Green Point Ln (Oct 18, 2018) | Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 4 in ½ mi | $835,000 | 0 vs 2 prior |
| Mountain Top Construction Recent nearby: 290 Crest Rd (Mar 6, 2025) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $360,000 | 1 vs 2 prior |
| Owner Recent nearby: 59 Bridge Rd (Feb 9, 2022) | New garage / accessory structure | 2 in ½ mi | $326,000 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 8 Glen Ln (Apr 19, 2022) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $105,500 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Rasmussen Dv And Son Recent nearby: 180 Crest Rd (Jan 11, 2017) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $105,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| 316 |
| 103d |
| 160d |
| 249d |
| 440d |
| 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alterationOn this parcel | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| Roof replacementOn this parcel | 3,663 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
| Plumbing / water heater / sewerOn this parcel | 2,211 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.