Novato 94947 · North Novato · APN 146-012-23 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned A2-B4 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $1,251,000 ($1,101,000–$1,401,000).
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (11 total permits, latest Feb 25, 2026).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 2 proposed or in review.
2 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
91 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$1,251,000
Benchmark range: $1,101,000 – $1,401,000
Other (94027): Pending in review for 9 mo — slower than 90% of other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 71d, n=1,560).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 2500 Vineyard Rd (520 ft NE, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of A2-B4 as agricultural, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Applied" for 9 mo (since Feb 12, 2026), with no new permit record in 9 mo. · 1 unit · $216,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 8.8 yr (since Feb 8, 2018), with no new permit record in 8.8 yr. · 1 unit · $100,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.3 yr (first record Aug 9, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 7.8 yr. · $275,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 4.2 yr (since Aug 23, 2022), with no new permit record in 4.2 yr. · 1 unit · $80,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 3.5 yr (first record May 3, 2023), with no completion or new permit record in 3.5 yr. · 1 unit · $6,450 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 2.8 yr (first record Jan 24, 2024), with no completion or new permit record in 2.8 yr. · 1 unit · $6,000 declared valuation
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (20 Verissimo Dr): Contractor changed from (blank) to BOLT DOWN THE BAY AREA
Record 182743 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (40 Verissimo Dr): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 94625 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $983,284 in September 2025 to $1,012,808 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
0 Wild Horse Valley Dr · 1 unit · $1,200,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
General repair permit application filed (94024)
Current status: Applied
Retaining Walls
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Other permit application filed (94025)
Current status: Applied
7.5 Ft Fence
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Windows / doors / siding permit application filed (94026)
Current status: Applied
Partial Siding Replacement On House
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Other permit application filed (94027)
Current status: Applied
Automatic Vehicle Gate
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
New garage / accessory structure permit application filed (93988)
Current status: Applied
Detached Shed
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) permit application filed (93990)
Current status: Applied
Convert Garage To A D U; Attached Covered Storage B W O P · Declared valuation: $216,000
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Annual ZIP 94947 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,021,699 in September 2024 to $983,284 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
90 Verissimo Dr (Adu 90a) · 1 unit · $1,000 valuation
Records span Oct 27, 2023 to Oct 11, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94947 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $993,500 in September 2023 to $1,021,699 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
37 Oak Valley Dr (Adu 37a) · 1 unit · $150,400 valuation
Records span Sep 22, 2023 to Sep 5, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
176 Wild Horse Valley Dr · $140,000 valuation
Records span Dec 6, 2023 to May 17, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Pending in review for 9 mo — slower than 90% of other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 71d, n=1,560).
Pending in review for 9 mo — slower than 90% of windows / doors / siding permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 5d, n=1,476).
Pending in review for 9 mo — slower than 90% of other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 71d, n=1,560).
In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Jul 14, 2023), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Applied" for 4.2 yr (since Aug 23, 2022), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Pending in review for 9 mo (3.1× the 83d median) — above the 75th percentile for general repair permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 83d, 75th pct 181d, n=693).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 732 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
6 in trailing 24m
Includes 2 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla Energy Operations | Roof replacement | 2 on parcel2 in ½ mi | $118,260 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Kelly Plumbing And Heating | HVAC / heat pump | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $8,500 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Earth Star Electric | Electrical / panel | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $5,300 |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| New garage / accessory structureOn this parcel | 356 | 104d | 164d | 294d | 485d | 159d(vs 205d prior) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94947
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($12,500/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($1,875/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$63,787/yr
Cash needed: $275,000
NOI: $12,061/yr
P&I: $6,321/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,250/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,990/mo | −$5,689/mo | -24.8% | $10,931/mo | −$5,685/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,250/mo | −$5,316/mo | -23.2% | $10,118/mo | −$5,127/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,445/mo | −$5,101/mo | -22.3% | $9,883/mo | −$4,703/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Applied1 unitsFeb 12, 2026 – Feb 12, 2026
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
Automatic Vehicle Gate
Partial Siding Replacement On House
7.5 Ft Fence
Retaining Walls
Convert Garage To A D U; Attached Covered Storage B W O P
Detached Shed
Reroof Tesla tiles at 34.27 kW and batteries
Electrical service upgrade (replacement) 200A — Service Upgrade
Reroof Tesla tiles at 34.27 kW and batteries — ReRoofing
REPLACE FURNACE W/ AIR HANDLER & INSTALL HEAT PUMP — Replace Mechanical Appliance
Existing 100 Amp Zinsco main service being upgraded to a new 200Amp service. Client says no added loads at this time but may add solar at some point. Existing breakers are a serious fire risk as well as over 40 years old, in addition residence is well over 2000Sq. ft. — Service Upgrade
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
1.70 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
2551A VINEYARD RD; 2551 VINEYARD RD
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 146-012-23. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 146-012-23 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| Major League Electric | Solar / battery storage | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $2,500 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 90 Verissimo Dr (Adu 90a) (Oct 11, 2024) | Remodel / interior alteration | 13 in ½ mi | $3,047,000 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Owner Recent nearby: 29 Verissimo Dr (Jul 21, 2021) | New garage / accessory structure | 13 in ½ mi | $1,415,640 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Rjdj Recent nearby: 33 Oak Valley Dr (Jul 5, 2023) | Pool / spa | 3 in ½ mi | $315,000 | 1 vs 1 prior |
| Marco Design Group Recent nearby: 43 Oak Valley Dr (May 9, 2017) | New garage / accessory structure | 3 in ½ mi | $81,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Barkley Builders Recent nearby: 35 Verissimo Dr (Dec 8, 2020) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $700,000 | 1 vs 0 prior |
| Rich Armusewicz Construction Recent nearby: 2588 Vineyard Rd (Jun 10, 2015) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $60,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion)On this parcel | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) | 316 | 103d | 160d | 249d | 440d | 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| Solar / battery storageOn this parcel | 2,977 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 2d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.