Novato 94947 · North Novato · APN 146-271-01 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned A2-B4 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $1,244,000 ($1,095,000–$1,393,000).
On-parcel permit history is indexed through Jul 23, 2026, letting you verify roof, HVAC, electrical, or structural work against seller disclosures.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 2 proposed or in review.
2 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
92 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$1,244,000
Benchmark range: $1,095,000 – $1,393,000
Other (169872): Issued after 2 mo — above the 75th percentile for other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 75th pct 1d, n=1,560).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 2500 Vineyard Rd (0.24 mi N, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of A2-B4 as agricultural, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Applied" for 8.8 yr (since Feb 8, 2018), with no new permit record in 8.8 yr. · 1 unit · $100,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.3 yr (first record Aug 9, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 7.8 yr. · $275,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 4.2 yr (since Aug 23, 2022), with no new permit record in 4.2 yr. · 1 unit · $80,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 3.5 yr (first record May 3, 2023), with no completion or new permit record in 3.5 yr. · 1 unit · $6,450 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 2.8 yr (first record Jan 24, 2024), with no completion or new permit record in 2.8 yr. · 1 unit · $6,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Jul 14, 2023), with no new permit record in 2.8 yr. · 1 unit
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (20 Verissimo Dr): Contractor changed from (blank) to BOLT DOWN THE BAY AREA
Record 182743 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (40 Verissimo Dr): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 94625 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $983,284 in September 2025 to $1,012,808 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
Other permit application filed (B47603)
Current status: Issued
Declared valuation: $29,892 · Contractor: Sonomarin Solar_inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Other permit issued (B47603)
Recorded status: Issued
Declared valuation: $29,892 · Contractor: Sonomarin Solar_inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
0 Wild Horse Valley Dr · 1 unit · $1,200,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
2551 Vineyard Rd · 1 unit · $216,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94947 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,021,699 in September 2024 to $983,284 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
90 Verissimo Dr (Adu 90a) · 1 unit · $1,000 valuation
Records span Oct 27, 2023 to Oct 11, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94947 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $993,500 in September 2023 to $1,021,699 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
37 Oak Valley Dr (Adu 37a) · 1 unit · $150,400 valuation
Records span Sep 22, 2023 to Sep 5, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
176 Wild Horse Valley Dr · $140,000 valuation
Records span Dec 6, 2023 to May 17, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
2500 Vineyard Rd · 1 unit
Records span Jul 14, 2023 to Jan 25, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1 Rebelo Ln · 1 unit · $6,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94947 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,029,641 in September 2022 to $993,500 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94947 (not a parcel appraisal)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Jul 14, 2023), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Issued after 2 mo — above the 75th percentile for other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 75th pct 1d, n=1,560).
In "Applied" for 4.2 yr (since Aug 23, 2022), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Applied" for 8.8 yr (since Feb 8, 2018), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Active in "Issued" for 8.3 yr (first record Aug 9, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 7.8 yr.
Active in "Issued" for 2.9 yr (first record Dec 6, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.5 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 732 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
6 in trailing 24m
Includes 2 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deckmaster Fine Decks | New garage / accessory structure | 1 on parcel2 in ½ mi | $73,600 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Sonomarin Solar_inc | Other | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $29,892 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Aaero Heating And Sheet Metal | HVAC / heat pump | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $5,044 |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94947
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($12,450/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($1,868/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$63,426/yr
Cash needed: $273,900
NOI: $12,119/yr
P&I: $6,295/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,250/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,990/mo | −$5,659/mo | -24.8% | $10,889/mo | −$5,654/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,250/mo | −$5,286/mo | -23.2% | $10,079/mo | −$5,097/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,445/mo | −$5,071/mo | -22.2% | $9,845/mo | −$4,673/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Repl Deck
Remove and Replace Furnace. Bryant Furnace Model# 915SB60100 95% AFUE with all final connections. — Replace Mechanical Appliance
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
1.71 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
40 PALOMINO CIR
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 146-271-01. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 146-271-01 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 90 Verissimo Dr (Adu 90a) (Oct 11, 2024) | Remodel / interior alteration | 13 in ½ mi | $3,047,000 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Owner Recent nearby: 29 Verissimo Dr (Jul 21, 2021) | New garage / accessory structure | 13 in ½ mi | $1,415,640 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Marco Design Group Recent nearby: 43 Oak Valley Dr (May 9, 2017) | New garage / accessory structure | 3 in ½ mi | $81,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Barkley Builders Recent nearby: 35 Verissimo Dr (Dec 8, 2020) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $700,000 | 1 vs 0 prior |
| Rjdj Recent nearby: 15 Stirrup Ln (Mar 31, 2022) | Pool / spa | 2 in ½ mi | $190,000 | 1 vs 1 prior |
| P And M Builders Recent nearby: 149 Wild Horse Valley Dr (Aug 18, 2016) | New garage / accessory structure | 2 in ½ mi | $94,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Us Demo And Hauling Recent nearby: 20 Saddle Ln (Nov 8, 2024) | Demolition | 2 in ½ mi | $15,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| 316 |
| 103d |
| 160d |
| 249d |
| 440d |
| 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| HVAC / heat pumpOn this parcel | 2,946 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
| OtherOn this parcel | 1,560 | 0d | 0d | 1d | 71d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.