14 Bay Canyon Rd
Novato 94945 · Black Point · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 38.10788, -122.50269
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned A2 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $1,378,000 ($1,213,000–$1,543,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ Documented permitted upgrades (+$67,320 contributory est.)
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (4 total permits, latest Mar 20, 2025).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! Mapped flood awareness zone (Zone X: minimal flood hazard)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! CAL FIRE High Fire Hazard Severity Zone (State Responsibility Area) (all of the lot of lot)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
- ! Delayed or open permit activity on this parcel
Addition (adds square footage) (80378): Pending in review for 9.4 yr (21.4× the 160d median) — slower than 90% of addition (adds square footage) permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 160d, 90th pct 440d, n=316).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
- ! 5 slow or stalled nearby projects within ½ mile
Closest lead: New home at 5 Bay Canyon Rd (350 ft NW, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 17,685 sq ft (0.41 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 14 BAY CANYON RD
Zoning & Land Use
A2 — Agriculture Limited (Unincorporated Marin)
Undesignated — Undesignated (Novato)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADUCan't tell
Zoned A2 (agricultural): ADUs are allowed if the zone allows a home, which depends on the zone's rules. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotUnlikely
Zoned A2 (agricultural), not a single-family residential zone. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated.
- SB 9: split into two lotsUnlikely
Zoned A2 (agricultural), not a single-family residential zone. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- High Fire Hazard Severity Zone (State Responsibility Area) (all of the lot, map Apr 1, 2024)
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone X: minimal flood hazard (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0282E, effective March 16, 2016
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $1,213,000 – $1,543,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94945) · FY 2026
Studio $2,050 · 1BR $2,510 · 2BR $2,990 · 3BR $3,770 · 4BR $3,960
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- Addition (adds square footage) (80378) (Applied)On this parcel
Pending in review for 9.4 yr (21.4× the 160d median) — slower than 90% of addition (adds square footage) permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 160d, 90th pct 440d, n=316).
- New home at 5 Bay Canyon Rd (Applied)350 ft NW
In "Applied" for 2.3 yr (since Jul 30, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 363 Grandview Ave (Applied)0.35 mi SE
In "Applied" for 2.5 yr (since Apr 26, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 315 Laurel Ave (Applied)0.37 mi SE
In "Applied" for 2.8 yr (since Feb 7, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Owner (1 on parcel, 4 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Roofing Done Right (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Roof replacement); Jiopbjk (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Electrical / panel); Owner Builder (6 in ½ mi · New garage / accessory structure); Tj Built Construction (4 in ½ mi · Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion)).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (4 permits, 0 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B41645 | Roof replacement | Issued | Iss. Mar 20, 2025 | $60,000 | Remove existing roof and install new metal panels — ReRoofing |
| 159358 | Remodel / interior alteration | Issued | Iss. Aug 20, 2018 | $180,000 | Remdl Kit, Laund, Bdrm,Ba; Add Bath & Bdrm In Lower Story; Add / Reconfig Wndw; Reconfig Stairs; Ltg In Other Areas T.D.… |
| B14092 | Electrical / panel | Issued | Iss. Jan 10, 2018 | $2,665 | Sub panel replacement only - like for like — Service Upgrade |
| 80378 | Addition (adds square footage) | Applied | App. Jul 6, 2017 | $350,000 | Addn; Rmdl. Not To Be Done, New Owner |