204 Caribe Isle
Novato 94949 · Bel Marin Keys · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 38.08442, -122.51830
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned RSP-5.8-BFC in Unincorporated Marin with likely ministerial ADU eligibility and mapped FEMA AE flood due diligence; benchmark value $1,375,000 ($1,210,000–$1,540,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ Ministerial ADU / JADU pathway likely eligible
Zone RSP-5.8-BFC allows residential use qualifying for ministerial ADU review under state law.
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314
- ✓ Documented permitted upgrades (+$14,400 contributory est.)
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (7 total permits, latest Jun 27, 2025).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (AE, all of the lot of lot)
Zone AE: 1% annual chance flood (Special Flood Hazard Area) overlaps this parcel. Expect mandatory flood insurance for federally backed loans and floodplain elevation/mitigation rules for new units or SB 9 applications.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! Delayed or open permit activity on this parcel
Electrical / panel (91070): Pending in review for 3.5 yr — slower than 90% of electrical / panel permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 2d, n=3,019).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
- ! 4 slow or stalled nearby projects within ½ mile
Closest lead: Demolition at 54 Calypso Shores (0.31 mi E, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
- ! Year 1 Prop 13 tax reset (~$16,263/yr at $1,375,000)
Sale triggers reassessment to 1.00% base + ~0.15% voter debt (~$1,355/mo). Confirm exact Mello-Roos / CFD special assessments on the county tax bill.
Source: CA Const. Art. XIIIA (Prop 13) · County Tax Collector
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 10,759 sq ft (0.25 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 204 CARIBE ISLE
Zoning & Land Use
RSP-5.8-BFC — Residential Single Family Planned (Unincorporated Marin)
Undesignated — Undesignated (Novato)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADULikely eligible
Zoned RSP-5.8-BFC (single-family residential): state law allows ADUs where homes are allowed. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotPossible, with conditions
Zoned RSP-5.8-BFC, a single-family residential zone. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated. FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (Zone AE) covers all of the lot: the project must meet the National Flood Insurance Program floodplain standards, or the lot needs a map revision.
- SB 9: split into two lotsPossible, with conditions
Zoned RSP-5.8-BFC, a single-family residential zone. The parcel point also falls in Undesignated. The lot is 10,759 sq ft by the assessor, room for two lots of at least 1,200 sq ft, each at least 40% of the original. FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (Zone AE) covers all of the lot: the project must meet the National Flood Insurance Program floodplain standards, or the lot needs a map revision.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- Not in a State-mapped fire hazard severity zone
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone AE: 1% annual chance flood (Special Flood Hazard Area) (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0284E, effective March 16, 2016
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $1,210,000 – $1,540,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94949) · FY 2026
Studio $2,360 · 1BR $2,830 · 2BR $3,430 · 3BR $4,380 · 4BR $4,540
Nearby Activity (½ mile radius, since November 2024)
0 active or recent development projects and 182 total building permits recorded within ½ mile.
- New construction2 permits
- Additions & renovations10 permits
- Building systems140 permits
- Other30 permits
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- Electrical / panel (91070) (Applied)On this parcel
Pending in review for 3.5 yr — slower than 90% of electrical / panel permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 2d, n=3,019).
- Demolition at 54 Calypso Shores (Applied)0.31 mi E
In "Applied" for 4.5 yr (since May 26, 2022), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
- Demolition at 1051 Bel Marin Keys Blvd (Issued)0.19 mi SE
Active in "Issued" for 8.5 yr (first record May 21, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 8.4 yr.
- Accessory dwelling unit at 1108 Bel Marin Keys Blvd (aka 1110) (Issued)0.4 mi SE
Active in "Issued" for 4.6 yr (first record Mar 23, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 4.4 yr.
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Bellows Plumbing Heating And Air (2 on parcel, 2 in ½ mi · HVAC / heat pump); Able Roofing (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Roof replacement); Bright Planet Solar (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Solar / battery storage); Sunrun Installation Services (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Solar / battery storage); Damran Electric (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Electrical / panel).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (7 permits, 0 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B42920 | Solar / battery storage | Issued | Iss. Jun 27, 2025 | $7,000 | 1 ESS INSTALL |
| B33669 | Electrical / panel | Issued | Iss. Apr 28, 2023 | $5,000 | Upgrade meter box to a new 125-amp meter box. To be replaced in same location as previous box. — Service Upgrade |
| 91070 | Electrical / panel | Applied | App. Apr 28, 2023 | $5,000 | M P U |
| B32666 | Plumbing / water heater / sewer | Issued | Iss. Feb 20, 2023 | $4,400 | Replace existing standard water heater in utility close with Navien NPE-240 tankless in same location. Gas meter right o… |
| B32665 | HVAC / heat pump | Issued | Iss. Feb 20, 2023 | $15,000 | Replace existing 3 ton furnace in utility room with new 3 ton 96% furnace and relocate to attic. Install new 3 ton heat … |
| B31966 | Solar / battery storage | Issued | Iss. Dec 7, 2022 | $12,000 | Residential Roof-Mount PV Solar-System; 15 Modules, 6.0kW |
| B12158 | Roof replacement | Issued | Iss. Apr 3, 2017 | $16,900 | Tear-off, re-sheath & re-roof — ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection |