San Geronimo 94963 · San Geronimo Valley · APN 170-182-10 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned RSP-0.05-SGV in Unincorporated Marin with likely ADU & SB 9 infill eligibility and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $1,340,000 ($1,179,000–$1,501,000).
Zoned RSP-0.05-SGV supports ministerial ADU/JADU review plus SB 9 both two-unit development and ministerial urban lot split on a 78,974 sq ft lot.
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314 & 65852.21
On-parcel permit history is indexed through Aug 9, 2022, letting you verify roof, HVAC, electrical, or structural work against seller disclosures.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 1 permitted.
1 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
37 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$1,340,000
Benchmark range: $1,179,000 – $1,501,000
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
New home at 2 Osprey Trl: Active in "Issued" for 14.6 yr (first record Mar 27, 2012) with no new permit activity recorded in 12.7 yr.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: Demolition at 0 Sylvan Way (0.25 mi E, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
No ADU or new-home permits recorded within ¼ mile in this window.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of RSP-0.05-SGV as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 14.6 yr (first record Mar 27, 2012), with no completion or new permit record in 12.7 yr. · 1 unit · $318,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 17.9 yr (first record Dec 23, 2008), with no completion or new permit record in 12.5 yr. · 1 unit · $483,281 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 17.9 yr (first record Dec 23, 2008), with no completion or new permit record in 12.5 yr. · 1 unit · $93,612 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 8.5 yr (since May 29, 2018), with no new permit record in 8.5 yr. · $20,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 7.3 yr (first record Jul 11, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 7.2 yr. · 1 unit · $225,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 6.3 yr (since Jul 28, 2020), with no new permit record in 6.3 yr. · 1 unit · $35,000 declared valuation
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,238,577 in September 2025 to $1,272,219 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94963 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,288,757 in September 2024 to $1,238,577 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
12 Meadow View Ln · 1 unit · $70,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94963 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,250,840 in September 2023 to $1,288,757 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
0 Sylvan Way
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94963 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,329,997 in September 2022 to $1,250,840 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94963 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $1,242,719 in September 2021 to $1,329,997 in September 2022.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
New garage / accessory structure permit application filed (90199)
Current status: Applied
Addition; [N] Roof Covering Decks · Declared valuation: $80,000
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Annual ZIP 94963 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $977,055 in September 2020 to $1,242,719 in September 2021.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94963 (not a parcel appraisal)
143 Carson Rd · 1 unit · $130,000 valuation
Records span Feb 2, 2021 to Apr 21, 2021 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
209 San Geronimo Valley Dr · 1 unit · $35,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
49 Conifer Way A K A · 1 unit · $225,000 valuation
Records span Jul 11, 2019 to Aug 27, 2019 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
8 Meadow View Ln · 1 unit · $350,000 valuation
Records span Dec 16, 2013 to Apr 1, 2019 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
16 Meadow View Ln · $20,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
16 Meadow View Ln · 1 unit · $483,281 valuation
Records span Dec 23, 2008 to May 7, 2014 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Active in "Issued" for 14.6 yr (first record Mar 27, 2012) with no new permit activity recorded in 12.7 yr.
Pending in review for 4.3 yr (9.5× the 164d median) — slower than 90% of new garage / accessory structure permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 164d, 90th pct 485d, n=356).
Issued after 23 mo (2.7× the 253d median) — slower than 90% of new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 253d, 90th pct 686d, n=121).
In "Applied" for 2.6 yr (since Apr 22, 2024), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
In "Applied" for 8.5 yr (since May 29, 2018), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
In "Applied" for 6.3 yr (since Jul 28, 2020), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph D Bruinsslot | New single-family home | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $318,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Owner Recent nearby: 49 Conifer Way A K A 47 (Aug 27, 2019) | New garage / accessory structure | 5 in ½ mi | $362,500 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Juan Calmell Recent nearby: 18 Meadow View Ln (May 7, 2014) | New single-family home |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family homeOn this parcel | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| New garage / accessory structureOn this parcel | 356 | 104d | 164d | 294d | 485d |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94963
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($13,400/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,010/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$66,800/yr
Cash needed: $294,800
NOI: $14,509/yr
P&I: $6,776/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,625/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,335/mo | −$5,983/mo | -24.4% | $11,687/mo | −$5,971/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,625/mo | −$5,567/mo | -22.7% | $10,817/mo | −$5,349/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,843/mo | −$5,327/mo | -21.7% | $10,566/mo | −$4,875/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Issued1 unitsMar 27, 2012 – Feb 18, 2014
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
Addition; [N] Roof Covering Decks
Single Family Residence T.D. 5/23/12 Extend To 04/05/14
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
1.81 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
2 OSPREY TRL
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 170-182-10. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 170-182-10 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| 3 in ½ mi |
| $612,533 |
| 0 vs 0 prior |
| Fontana Construction Recent nearby: 16 Meadow View Ln (Feb 7, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $160,000 | 1 vs 3 prior |
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 170 Redwood Dr (Feb 12, 2024) | New garage / accessory structure | 3 in ½ mi | $123,500 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Guthrie Construction Recent nearby: 9 Sylvan Way (Mar 21, 2024) | Remodel / interior alteration | 1 in ½ mi | $225,000 | 0 vs 3 prior |
| 159d(vs 205d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) | 316 | 103d | 160d | 249d | 440d | 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.