147 Mabry Way
San Rafael 94903 · Santa Venetia · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 38.01229, -122.52413
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned R1 in Unincorporated Marin with likely ministerial ADU eligibility and mapped FEMA AE flood due diligence; benchmark value $1,187,000 ($1,045,000–$1,329,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ Ministerial ADU / JADU pathway likely eligible
Zone R1 allows residential use qualifying for ministerial ADU review under state law (3 ADU permits permitted within ¼ mile in 36 months).
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314
- ✓ 3 documented municipal building permits on file
On-parcel permit history is indexed through Apr 10, 2018, letting you verify roof, HVAC, electrical, or structural work against seller disclosures.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (AE, all of the lot of lot)
Zone AE: 1% annual chance flood (Special Flood Hazard Area) overlaps this parcel. Expect mandatory flood insurance for federally backed loans and floodplain elevation/mitigation rules for new units or SB 9 applications.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! Delayed or open permit activity on this parcel
Demolition (147699): Issued after 9 mo (4.8× the 55d median) — slower than 90% of demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 55d, 90th pct 261d, n=130).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
- ! 5 slow or stalled nearby projects within ½ mile
Closest lead: 9 new homes (0.49 mi NW, entitled). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
- ! Year 1 Prop 13 tax reset (~$14,101/yr at $1,187,000)
Sale triggers reassessment to 1.00% base + ~0.15% voter debt (~$1,175/mo). Confirm exact Mello-Roos / CFD special assessments on the county tax bill.
Source: CA Const. Art. XIIIA (Prop 13) · County Tax Collector
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 7,362 sq ft (0.17 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 147 MABRY WAY
Zoning & Land Use
R1 — Residential Single Family (Unincorporated Marin)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADULikely eligible
Zoned R1 (single-family residential): state law allows ADUs where homes are allowed.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotPossible, with conditions
Zoned R1, a single-family residential zone. FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (Zone AE) covers all of the lot: the project must meet the National Flood Insurance Program floodplain standards, or the lot needs a map revision.
- SB 9: split into two lotsPossible, with conditions
Zoned R1, a single-family residential zone. The lot is 7,362 sq ft by the assessor, room for two lots of at least 1,200 sq ft, each at least 40% of the original. FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area (Zone AE) covers all of the lot: the project must meet the National Flood Insurance Program floodplain standards, or the lot needs a map revision.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- Not in a State-mapped fire hazard severity zone
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone AE: 1% annual chance flood (Special Flood Hazard Area) (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0294E, effective March 16, 2016
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $1,045,000 – $1,329,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94903) · FY 2026
Studio $2,880 · 1BR $3,450 · 2BR $4,180 · 3BR $5,340 · 4BR $5,530
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- 9 new homes (Entitled)0.49 mi NW
In "Entitled" for 5.6 yr (since Apr 12, 2021), exceeding the 292d median and 313d 90th percentile for new multifamily / condos / mixed-use permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=21). High-impact scale (9 housing units, 9 deed-restricted affordable across 0 permits).
- Demolition (147699) (Issued)On this parcel
Issued after 9 mo (4.8× the 55d median) — slower than 90% of demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 55d, 90th pct 261d, n=130).
- New home at 16 Crestview Way (Issued)0.39 mi SE
Active in "Issued" for 2.5 yr (first record May 20, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 15 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $770,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 120 Mabry Way (Applied)0.15 mi SE
In "Applied" for 3.1 yr (since Sep 21, 2023), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Owner Builder (1 on parcel, 30 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Wedge Roofing (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Roof replacement); Fitzpatricks Heating And Air (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · HVAC / heat pump); Owner (15 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Nima Construction (2 in ½ mi · New garage / accessory structure).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (3 permits, 0 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B14691 | Roof replacement | Issued | Iss. Apr 10, 2018 | $13,525 | ***sloped Section Only ***Remove existing 17 sq ft roof down to sheathing. Prepare existing sheathing for new roof. Inst… |
| 148910 | HVAC / heat pump | Issued | Iss. Sep 9, 2015 | $1,100 | Repl Wall Heater |
| 147699 | Demolition | Issued | Iss. Jun 24, 2015 | $66,900 | Addition; Removal Of Deck Built W/Out Permit - Bwop T.D. 10/27/14 |