Bolinas 94924 · Bolinas · APN 192-202-12 · Unincorporated Marin
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 5 permitted, 2 proposed or in review; 1 demolition; 1 commercial or mixed-use project.
9 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
75 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$2,053,000
Benchmark range: $1,807,000 – $2,299,000
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Oct 29, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of C-RA-B2 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 3.2 yr (first record Aug 24, 2023), with no completion or new permit record in 2.3 yr. · 1 unit · $850,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 11.4 yr (first record Jun 4, 2015), with no completion or new permit record in 11.1 yr. · 1 unit · $200,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 10.3 yr (first record Jul 5, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 10 yr. · 1 unit · $229,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.6 yr (first record Mar 9, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 7.7 yr. · 1 unit · $76,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 7 yr (first record Oct 15, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 6.9 yr. · $75,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.1 yr (first record Sep 22, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 5 yr. · 1 unit · $80,000 declared valuation
Nearby general repair (8 Ocean Ave): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 182838 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby general repair (8 Ocean Ave): No longer present in latest agency feed
Record 93727 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) (460 Fern Rd): No longer present in latest agency feed
Record 93841 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (460 Fern Rd): No longer present in latest agency feed
Record 94065 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (460 Fern Rd (A D U 460 A)): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 182819 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (460 Fern Rd): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 182820 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
225 Hawthorne Rd · $10,000 valuation
Records span Dec 11, 2025 to Oct 19, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,796,016 in September 2025 to $1,954,560 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94924 (not a parcel appraisal)
185 Kale Rd · 1 unit · $200,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
123 Jute Rd · 1 unit · $684,617 valuation
Records span Sep 24, 2025 to Mar 9, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
185 Iris Rd (Adu 150 Juniper Rd) · 1 unit · $119,520 valuation
Records span May 23, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94924 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,016,418 in September 2024 to $1,796,016 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94924 (not a parcel appraisal)
117 Ter Ave · $22,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
460 Fern Rd · 1 unit · $50,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Solar / battery storage permit application filed (B42058)
Current status: Issued
Installation of 12 x roof mounted solar panels (4.8kw system) · Declared valuation: $12,000 · Contractor: Eclipse Energy & Construction
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Active in "Issued" for 3.2 yr (first record Aug 24, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.3 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $850,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 4.9 yr (first record Nov 17, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.2 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $950,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 2.3 yr (first record Jul 17, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 21 mo.
Active in "Issued" for 4.1 yr (first record Sep 28, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.1 yr.
Active in "Issued" for 4.1 yr (first record Sep 28, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.1 yr.
Active in "Applied" for 3.6 yr (first record Apr 4, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.6 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 1,190 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.5 / 1k
11 in trailing 24m
Includes 6 ADUs
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94924
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($20,550/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($3,083/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
−$124,213/yr
Cash needed: $452,100
NOI: $482/yr
P&I: $10,391/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,000/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,760/mo | −$10,696/mo | -28.4% | $17,690/mo | −$10,765/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,000/mo | −$10,351/mo | -27.5% | $16,373/mo | −$10,251/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,180/mo | −$10,153/mo | -26.9% | $15,993/mo | −$9,859/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Issued1 unitsAug 24, 2023 – Jul 11, 2024
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
Installation of 12 x roof mounted solar panels (4.8kw system)
New S F D On Vacant Lot
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | —(P4001) | SFD · Owner | 1 (Aug 24, 2023) | — | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
0.23 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
185 ELM RD
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Search by parcel number 192-202-12. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 192-202-12 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.