Stinson Beach 94970 · Stinson Beach · APN 195-102-12 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned C-RSP-2 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped FEMA VE flood / CAL FIRE very high fire hazard severity zone (local responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $3,049,000 ($2,683,000–$3,415,000).
On-parcel permit history is indexed through Jun 17, 2024, letting you verify roof, HVAC, electrical, or structural work against seller disclosures.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Zone VE: 1% annual chance flood (Special Flood Hazard Area) overlaps this parcel. Expect mandatory flood insurance for federally backed loans and floodplain elevation/mitigation rules for new units or SB 9 applications.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 1 permitted.
1 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
66 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$3,049,000
Benchmark range: $2,683,000 – $3,415,000
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Mar 24, 2025)
New home at 7 Jose Patio: Active in "Issued" for 3.5 yr (first record May 16, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.4 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,750,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 4 Sacramento Patio (adu 4a) (0.13 mi NW, issued). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of C-RSP-2 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 3.5 yr (first record May 16, 2023), with no completion or new permit record in 2.4 yr. · 1 unit · $1,750,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 11.7 yr (since Feb 19, 2015), with no new permit record in 11.7 yr. · 1 unit · $85,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 11.4 yr (first record Jul 1, 2015), with no completion or new permit record in 11.4 yr. · $20,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 10.2 yr (first record Sep 6, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 9.9 yr. · 1 unit · $1,750,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.9 yr (first record Dec 30, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit · $700,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 5.5 yr (since May 17, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.5 yr. · 1 unit
Nearby roof replacement (45 Calle Del Ribera): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48981 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby roof replacement (23 Calle Del Pinos): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49040 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby solar / battery storage (23 Calle Del Pinos): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48814 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $3,185,829 in September 2025 to $3,577,374 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
21 Calle Del Onda · 1 unit · $214,708 valuation
Records span Dec 2, 2025 to Jun 3, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94970 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $3,436,866 in September 2024 to $3,185,829 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94970 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $3,189,831 in September 2023 to $3,436,866 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
4 Sacramento Patio (Adu 4a) · 1 unit · $1,800,000 valuation
Records span Apr 24, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Building permit reported to State HCD for 1 housing unit (91517)
Reported in 2024 Housing Element Annual Progress Report
SFD · Owner
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: parcel
New single-family home permit issued (176868)
Recorded status: Issued
Demo & Replacement Of S F D; Garage; Decks; Spa: Covered Deck; Storage · Declared valuation: $1,750,000 · 1 housing unit · Contractor: Owner/Builder
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
22 Calle Del Pradero · 1 unit · $10,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94970 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $3,315,696 in September 2022 to $3,189,831 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
New single-family home permit application filed (176868)
Current status: Issued
Demo & Replacement Of S F D; Garage; Decks; Spa: Covered Deck; Storage · Declared valuation: $1,750,000 · Contractor: Owner/Builder
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Planning entitlement approved for 1 housing unit (91517)
Reported in 2024 Housing Element Annual Progress Report
SFD · Owner
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: parcel
Planning entitlement approved for 1 housing unit (91517)
Reported in 2023 Housing Element Annual Progress Report
SFD · Owner
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: parcel
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Active in "Issued" for 3.5 yr (first record May 16, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.4 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,750,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 2.6 yr (first record Apr 24, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.3 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,800,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 10.2 yr (first record Sep 6, 2016) with no new permit activity recorded in 9.9 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,750,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
In "Entitled" for 3.8 yr (since Jan 21, 2023), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Applied" for 11.7 yr (since Feb 19, 2015), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Applied" for 2.6 yr (since Apr 18, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 891 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
9 in trailing 24m
Includes 2 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owner Builder | Remodel / interior alteration | 1 on parcel9 in ½ mi | $2,387,708 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Gubbins Building Recent nearby: 139 Seadrift Rd (Jun 2, 2026) | Remodel / interior alteration | 8 in ½ mi | $3,477,500 | 3 vs 4 prior |
| Owner Recent nearby: 6 Calle Del Pinos (Sep 29, 2021) | New garage / accessory structure |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family homeOn this parcel | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94970
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($30,500/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($4,575/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$195,798/yr
Cash needed: $671,000
NOI: -$10,729/yr
P&I: $15,422/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,025/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,783/mo | −$16,664/mo | -29.8% | $26,044/mo | −$16,811/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,025/mo | −$16,317/mo | -29.2% | $24,106/mo | −$16,292/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,207/mo | −$16,117/mo | -28.8% | $23,546/mo | −$15,897/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Issued1 unitsMay 16, 2023 – Jun 17, 2024
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
Demo & Replacement Of S F D; Garage; Decks; Spa: Covered Deck; Storage
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | —(91517) | SFD · Owner | 1 (May 16, 2023) | 1 (Jun 17, 2024) | — | — |
| 2023 | —(91517) | SFD · Owner | 1 (May 16, 2023) | — | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
0.21 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
7 JOSE PATIO
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 195-102-12. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 195-102-12 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| 5 in ½ mi |
| $871,500 |
| 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Ireland Robinson And Hadley Recent nearby: 355 Belvedere Ave (May 8, 2019) | New garage / accessory structure | 4 in ½ mi | $2,662,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Woodworking West Recent nearby: 112 Seadrift Rd (Jan 15, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $275,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Gillies Dan Construction Services Recent nearby: 8 Dipsea Rd (Jun 9, 2015) | New garage / accessory structure | 3 in ½ mi | $91,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Tim Trumbo Recent nearby: 7 Francisco Patio (Jul 22, 2021) | Addition (adds square footage) | 2 in ½ mi | $660,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Rosenbach Constr Recent nearby: 10 Sonoma Patio (Aug 6, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 in ½ mi | $175,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Norman Charles Construction Recent nearby: 43 Dipsea Rd (Mar 22, 2022) | New garage / accessory structure | 1 in ½ mi | $15,000,000 | 0 vs 3 prior |
| Buildergirl Design And Construction Recent nearby: 4 Sacramento Patio (Adu 4a) (Aug 1, 2024) | New single-family home | 1 in ½ mi | $1,800,000 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Addition (adds square footage) | 316 | 103d | 160d | 249d | 440d | 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.