Stinson Beach 94970 · Stinson Beach · APN 195-107-13 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned C-R1 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE very high fire hazard severity zone (local responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $3,027,000 ($2,664,000–$3,390,000).
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (7 total permits, latest Nov 26, 2025).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: 0.2% annual chance flood hazard (shaded X). Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Mar 24, 2025)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 2 permitted.
2 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
86 permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$3,027,000
Benchmark range: $2,664,000 – $3,390,000
Other (88015): Pending in review for 5.6 yr — slower than 90% of other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 71d, n=1,560).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
Closest lead: New home at 7 Jose Patio (0.11 mi W, issued). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of C-R1 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Applied" for 11.7 yr (since Feb 19, 2015), with no new permit record in 11.7 yr. · 1 unit · $85,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 11.4 yr (first record Jul 1, 2015), with no completion or new permit record in 11.4 yr. · $20,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 7.3 yr (first record Jul 22, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 7.1 yr. · 1 unit · $969,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.9 yr (first record Dec 30, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit · $700,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 3.8 yr (since Jan 21, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.8 yr. · 1 unit
In "Applied" for 3.8 yr (since Jan 26, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.8 yr. · 1 unit · $135,000 declared valuation
Nearby roof replacement (45 Calle Del Ribera): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48981 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby roof replacement (23 Calle Del Pinos): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49040 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby solar / battery storage (23 Calle Del Pinos): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48814 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $3,185,829 in September 2025 to $3,577,374 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
21 Calle Del Onda · 1 unit · $214,708 valuation
Records span Dec 2, 2025 to Jun 3, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit application filed (B44942)
Current status: Issued
Remove 1 failed gas water heater cap existing gas line, and remove the existing water heater flue vent and cap. Install 1 American Standard 40-gallon electric water heater, 1- 22" water heater pan, 2- stainless steel water heater flex water supply lines,1- 4.5-gallon expansion tank with wall strap kit, pipe and fittings to connect. — New Plumbing Fixture(s) · Declared valuation: $3,365 · Contractor: Bonney Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Plumbing / water heater / sewer permit issued (B44942)
Recorded status: Issued
Remove 1 failed gas water heater cap existing gas line, and remove the existing water heater flue vent and cap. Install 1 American Standard 40-gallon electric water heater, 1- 22" water heater pan, 2- stainless steel water heater flex water supply lines,1- 4.5-gallon expansion tank with wall strap kit, pipe and fittings to connect. — New Plumbing Fixture(s) · Declared valuation: $3,365 · Contractor: Bonney Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
HVAC / heat pump permit application filed (B44692)
Current status: Issued
Removal of broken furnace and installation of heat pump system — Replace Ductwork, Replace Mechanical Appliance · Declared valuation: $4,000 · Contractor: Monaco Mechanical
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
HVAC / heat pump permit issued (B44692)
Recorded status: Issued
Removal of broken furnace and installation of heat pump system — Replace Ductwork, Replace Mechanical Appliance · Declared valuation: $4,000 · Contractor: Monaco Mechanical
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Annual ZIP 94970 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $3,436,866 in September 2024 to $3,185,829 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94970 (not a parcel appraisal)
Solar / battery storage permit application filed (B42713)
Current status: Issued
Install 5.59kW solar PV system with a new energy storage system. · Declared valuation: $44,879 · Contractor: Northern Pacific Power Systems Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Solar / battery storage permit issued (B42713)
Recorded status: Issued
Install 5.59kW solar PV system with a new energy storage system. · Declared valuation: $44,879 · Contractor: Northern Pacific Power Systems Inc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Windows / doors / siding permit application filed (B42504)
Current status: Issued
Replace siding — Siding Replacement · Declared valuation: $65,000 · Contractor: George T Flynn Construction
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Windows / doors / siding permit issued (B42504)
Recorded status: Issued
Replace siding — Siding Replacement · Declared valuation: $65,000 · Contractor: George T Flynn Construction
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
260 Belvedere Ave · 1 unit · $2,000,000 valuation
Records span Dec 16, 2021 to Dec 30, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →Pending in review for 5.6 yr — slower than 90% of other permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 0d, 90th pct 71d, n=1,560).
Active in "Issued" for 3.5 yr (first record May 16, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.4 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,750,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 2.6 yr (first record Apr 24, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.3 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,800,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 4.9 yr (first record Dec 16, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 22 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $2,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 7.3 yr (first record Jul 22, 2019) with no new permit activity recorded in 7.1 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $969,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
In "Applied" for 11.7 yr (since Feb 19, 2015), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 891 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
9 in trailing 24m
Includes 2 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owner Builder | Remodel / interior alteration | 2 on parcel13 in ½ mi | $3,892,708 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| George T Flynn Construction Merged: GEORGE T FLYNN CONSTRUCTION · GEORGE T. FLYNN CONSTRUCTION | Windows / doors / siding | 1 on parcel5 in ½ mi | $708,500 | 2 vs 0 prior |
| Northern Pacific Power | Solar / battery storage | 1 on parcel |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94970
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($30,250/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($4,538/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$193,994/yr
Cash needed: $665,500
NOI: -$10,441/yr
P&I: $15,296/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,025/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,783/mo | −$16,514/mo | -29.8% | $25,834/mo | −$16,659/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,025/mo | −$16,166/mo | -29.2% | $23,912/mo | −$16,140/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $3,207/mo | −$15,966/mo | -28.8% | $23,356/mo | −$15,745/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Remove 1 failed gas water heater cap existing gas line, and remove the existing water heater flue vent and cap. Install 1 American Standard 40-gallon electric water heater, 1- 22" water heater pan, 2- stainless steel water heater flex water supply lines,1- 4.5-gallon expansion tank with wall strap kit, pipe and fittings to connect. — New Plumbing Fixture(s)
Removal of broken furnace and installation of heat pump system — Replace Ductwork, Replace Mechanical Appliance
Install 5.59kW solar PV system with a new energy storage system.
Replace siding — Siding Replacement
Relocate Propane Tank
Install 4 Steel Posts For Shade Cloths T.D. 5/21/21
remove and replace composition roof — ReRoofing; With Electronic Inspection
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
0.18 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
1 FRANCISCO PATIO
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 195-107-13. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 195-107-13 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| $44,879 |
| 0 vs 0 prior |
| Northern Pacific Roofing | Roof replacement | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $13,877 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Monaco Mechanical | HVAC / heat pump | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $4,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Bonney | Plumbing / water heater / sewer | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $3,365 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Gubbins Building Recent nearby: 128 Seadrift Rd (Nov 14, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 6 in ½ mi | $1,812,500 | 3 vs 4 prior |
| Owner Recent nearby: 6 Calle Del Pinos (Sep 29, 2021) | New garage / accessory structure | 6 in ½ mi | $1,171,500 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Woodworking West Recent nearby: 112 Seadrift Rd (Jan 15, 2019) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $275,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Gillies Dan Construction Services Recent nearby: 8 Dipsea Rd (Jun 9, 2015) | New garage / accessory structure | 3 in ½ mi | $91,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| 316 |
| 103d |
| 160d |
| 249d |
| 440d |
| 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| Solar / battery storageOn this parcel | 2,977 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 2d | 0d |
| Roof replacementOn this parcel | 3,663 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.