Mill Valley 94941 · Tamalpais · APN 200-181-12 · Unincorporated Marin
Zoned R1 in Unincorporated Marin with likely ADU & SB 9 infill eligibility and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $2,294,000 ($2,019,000–$2,569,000).
Zoned R1 supports ministerial ADU/JADU review plus SB 9 both two-unit development and ministerial urban lot split on a 22,564 sq ft lot. Local precedent is active with 3 ADU permits within ¼ mile over the last 36 months.
Source: Unincorporated Marin zoning · CA Gov. Code 66314 & 65852.21
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (4 total permits, latest Nov 21, 2025).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
50 substantial renovation & housing permits over 24 months (20.5 per 1,000 parcels vs. 16.4 citywide baseline) (#3 of 22 neighborhoods).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (Tamalpais)
Automated synthesis of indexed municipal, county, state, and federal public records — informational context only, not a formal appraisal, survey, or legal/tax determination.
Since November 2024 within ½ mile: 1 permitted, 2 proposed or in review; 1 demolition.
4 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
permits within ½ mile since November 2024
$2,294,000
Benchmark range: $2,019,000 – $2,569,000
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
Closest lead: New home at 560 Alta Way (0.46 mi E, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
Sale triggers reassessment to 1.00% base + ~0.15% voter debt (~$2,236/mo). Confirm exact Mello-Roos / CFD special assessments on the county tax bill.
Source: CA Const. Art. XIIIA (Prop 13) · County Tax Collector
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Marin's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) (retrieved Nov 13, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of R1 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 12.4 yr (first record Jun 2, 2014), with no completion or new permit record in 12.4 yr. · $400 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.8 yr (first record Feb 11, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 6.8 yr. · $39,972 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 5.6 yr (since Apr 5, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 5 yr (since Nov 15, 2021), with no new permit record in 5 yr. · 1 unit
In "Applied" for 5.2 yr (since Sep 7, 2021), with no new permit record in 4.9 yr. · 1 unit · $200,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 4.8 yr (since Jan 19, 2022), with no new permit record in 4.8 yr. · 1 unit
Nearby other (529 Brookline Way): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49083 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (1075 Erica Rd): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49072 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (1217 Waterview Dr): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 94643 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby other (1212 El Cide Ct): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B49060 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby roof replacement (546 Fairview Ave): First appeared in published agency feed
Record B48831 · Detected between snapshots
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $1,980,059 in September 2025 to $2,181,389 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
81 Skyline Ter · 1 unit · $85,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
812 Chamberlain Ct · 1 unit
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Windows / doors / siding permit application filed (B44882)
Current status: Issued
Replace 1 retrofit window — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement · Declared valuation: $1,115 · Contractor: Jemico Llc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
Windows / doors / siding permit issued (B44882)
Recorded status: Issued
Replace 1 retrofit window — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement · Declared valuation: $1,115 · Contractor: Jemico Llc
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel
375 N Ferndale Ave · $5,000 valuation
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,042,452 in September 2024 to $1,980,059 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
1123 W California Ave (Adu 1123a) · 1 unit · $150,000 valuation
Records span Oct 7, 2024 to Mar 7, 2025 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94941 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $2,038,275 in September 2023 to $2,042,452 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94941 (not a parcel appraisal)
612 Springfield Way (Adu 612a) · 1 unit · $500,000 valuation
Records span May 6, 2024 to Sep 20, 2024 (1 permit).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Marin development graph →In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Aug 10, 2023), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121). High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $975,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
In "Entitled" for 4.8 yr (since Jan 19, 2022), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Entitled" for 5.6 yr (since Apr 5, 2021), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Entitled" for 5 yr (since Nov 15, 2021), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
In "Applied" for 13 mo (since Oct 14, 2025), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
In "Applied" for 2.6 yr (since Apr 8, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 2,439 parcels
−7.7% YoY
City baseline: 16.4 / 1k
50 in trailing 24m
Includes 16 ADUs
| Builder / contractor | Primary specialty | Here / ½ mi | ½ mi valuation | Citywide 24m trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mcdonald Heating And Cooling | HVAC / heat pump | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $23,739 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Sonomarin | Solar / battery storage | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $21,300 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Moore Services | HVAC / heat pump | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $4,250 | 0 |
| Permit category | Sample (n) | 25th pct | Median (50th) | 75th pct | 90th pct | Recent 24m median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New single-family home | 121 | 166d | 253d | 456d | 686d | 211d(vs 273d prior) |
| New multifamily / condos / mixed-use | 21 | 272d | 292d | 293d | 313d | 293d(vs 197d prior) |
| Accessory dwelling unit (new or conversion) | 298 | 120d | 204d | 331d | 549d | 214d(vs 181d prior) |
| Addition (adds square footage) |
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94941
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($22,950/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($3,443/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Mapped hazard zone insurance context on this parcel:
Model adding a backyard ADU or garage conversion under California's Prop 13 blended new-construction assessment (existing house & land tax base stays intact; only ADU build cost is assessed) and SB 13 impact-fee rules.
−$132,712/yr
Cash needed: $504,900
NOI: $6,545/yr
P&I: $11,605/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,950/mo gross rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,634/mo | −$11,513/mo | -27.4% | $19,705/mo | −$11,563/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,950/mo | −$11,059/mo | -26.3% | $18,239/mo | −$10,885/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $4,187/mo | −$10,799/mo | -25.7% | $17,815/mo | −$10,370/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Replace 1 retrofit window — Non-structural Door/Window Replacement
completely new heat pump condenser, SEER 14, HSPF 8.0 — Mechanical Appliance
Battery Back Up
DUCTLESS MINISPLIT AFUE — Replace Mechanical Appliance
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026 · Received and issued dates come from the County of Marin. The county publishes no final or expired status, so an issued permit stays 'Issued' after the work is done.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Marin's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Zoning (11 cities and unincorporated Marin) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
0.52 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
2 FRIARS LN
Source: County of Marin GIS (MarinMap), Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 13, 2026
Search by parcel number 200-181-12. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by parcel number 200-181-12 (Marin County Tax Collector)
Permits issued in unincorporated Marin in the past 48 months. Each city keeps its own records.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.
| Jemico | Windows / doors / siding | 1 on parcel1 in ½ mi | $1,115 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Owner Builder Recent nearby: 642 Northern Ave (Oct 19, 2026) | Remodel / interior alteration | 32 in ½ mi | $2,035,132 | 226 vs 240 prior−6% |
| Owner Recent nearby: 351 Melrose Ave (Sep 18, 2025) | Remodel / interior alteration | 19 in ½ mi | $798,400 | 25 vs 15 prior+67% |
| Lamperti Contracting And Design Recent nearby: 1125 W California Ave (Feb 1, 2024) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $344,716 | 2 vs 7 prior |
| Mayer And Recent nearby: 558 Alta Way (Oct 3, 2017) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $193,800 | 0 vs 1 prior |
| Rising Design And Construction Recent nearby: 1227 Waterview Dr (Jun 19, 2017) | Remodel / interior alteration | 3 in ½ mi | $110,815 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| Hunts Construction Partnership Recent nearby: 398 N Ferndale Ave (Aug 1, 2022) | Addition (adds square footage) | 2 in ½ mi | $1,350,000 | 0 vs 0 prior |
| 316 |
| 103d |
| 160d |
| 249d |
| 440d |
| 157d(vs 167d prior) |
| Remodel / interior alteration | 1,054 | 36d | 83d | 148d | 266d | 112d(vs 77d prior) |
| Commercial tenant improvement | 81 | 99d | 148d | 233d | 443d | 152d(vs 150d prior) |
| Solar / battery storageOn this parcel | 2,977 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 2d | 0d |
| HVAC / heat pumpOn this parcel | 2,946 | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d | 0d |
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · Computed from issued permits with recorded application and issuance dates over the trailing 60 months. Categories with fewer than 20 permits are excluded.