6970 Lucas Valley Rd
Nicasio 94946 · Nicasio · Unincorporated Marin · Coordinates: 38.05082, -122.67721
Executive Verdict · Public-Records Synthesis
Zoned ARP-5 in Unincorporated Marin and mapped CAL FIRE high fire hazard severity zone (state responsibility area) due diligence; benchmark value $2,227,000 ($1,960,000–$2,494,000).
Upsides & Opportunities
- ✓ Documented permitted upgrades (+$144,000 contributory est.)
Public building records show issued construction/renovation work on this parcel (3 total permits, latest Sep 10, 2025).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (parcel APN)
Watchouts & Due Diligence
- ! Mapped flood awareness zone (Zone X: minimal flood hazard)
all of the lot of the parcel intersects Zone X: minimal flood hazard. Outside mandatory federal SFHA insurance rules, but check local drainage and finished-floor requirements.
Source: FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer (parcel polygon)
- ! CAL FIRE High Fire Hazard Severity Zone (State Responsibility Area) (all of the lot of lot)
Located in a mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone. Expect Chapter 7A ignition-resistant building standards, defensible-space inspections, and stricter property insurance underwriting.
Source: CAL FIRE FHSZ (map Apr 1, 2024)
- ! Delayed or open permit activity on this parcel
Demolition at 6970 Lucas Valley Rd: In "Applied" for 2.6 yr (since Mar 22, 2024), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) (review-time benchmark)
- ! 1 slow or stalled nearby project within ½ mile
Closest lead: Accessory dwelling unit at 7000 Lucas Valley Rd (390 ft SW, applied). Inspect timeline history before assuming near-term completion.
Source: County of Marin Community Development Agency, Building Permits (unincorporated Marin) · HCD APR (½-mile radius)
Parcel & Assessor
- Lot size:
- 172,062 sq ft (3.95 ac)
- Assessor use:
- Single-Resid. - Improved
- Addresses on lot:
- 6970 LUCAS VALLEY RD
Zoning & Land Use
ARP-5 — Agriculture Residential Planned (Unincorporated Marin)
State Housing Pathways Screen (ADU & SB 9)
- ADU or junior ADUCan't tell
Zoned ARP-5 (agricultural): ADUs are allowed if the zone allows a home, which depends on the zone's rules.
- SB 9: two homes on the lotUnlikely
Zoned ARP-5 (agricultural), not a single-family residential zone.
- SB 9: split into two lotsUnlikely
Zoned ARP-5 (agricultural), not a single-family residential zone.
Mapped Hazard Zones on This Lot
- CAL FIRE Fire Hazard Severity Zone
- High Fire Hazard Severity Zone (State Responsibility Area) (all of the lot, map Apr 1, 2024)
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer
- Zone X: minimal flood hazard (all of the lot) · FIRM panel 06041C0275D, effective May 4, 2009
- CGS Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
- Not in an Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zone
Surrounding Rent & Value Benchmarks (Public Records)
Range: $1,960,000 – $2,494,000 · Status: Off market
HUD Small Area FMR (ZIP 94946) · FY 2026
Studio $2,050 · 1BR $2,510 · 2BR $2,990 · 3BR $3,730 · 4BR $3,960
Developments Deserving Closer Investigation & Active Area Builders
- Demolition at 6970 Lucas Valley Rd (Applied)On this parcel
In "Applied" for 2.6 yr (since Mar 22, 2024), exceeding the 55d median and 261d 90th percentile for demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=130).
- Demolition (92027) (Applied)On this parcel
Pending in review for 2.6 yr (17.5× the 55d median) — slower than 90% of demolition permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 55d, 90th pct 261d, n=130).
- Accessory dwelling unit at 7000 Lucas Valley Rd (Applied)390 ft SW
In "Applied" for 2 yr (since Nov 21, 2024), exceeding the 253d median and 686d 90th percentile for new single-family home permits in Unincorporated Marin (n=121).
- Remodel / interior alteration (180046) (Issued)On this parcel
Issued after 7 mo (2.4× the 83d median) — above the 75th percentile for remodel / interior alteration permits in Unincorporated Marin (median 83d, 75th pct 148d, n=1,054).
Entity-resolved builders & contractors in ½ mile: Brownco Construction And Development (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Remodel / interior alteration); Greenwood Electric (1 on parcel, 1 in ½ mi · Electrical / panel); Owner Builder (3 in ½ mi · New garage / accessory structure); Conner Consulting And Contracting (1 in ½ mi · New garage / accessory structure); Chris Solberg Construction (1 in ½ mi · New garage / accessory structure).
Permit & Project History on This Parcel (3 permits, 1 grouped projects)
| Record # | Category | Status | Applied / Issued | Valuation | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180046 | Remodel / interior alteration | Issued | Iss. Sep 10, 2025 | $750,000 | Fire Damage Repair: Including Framing, Ext Siding, Walls, Doors, Windows, Bathrooms Entry Deck, Mech, Elec, Plumbing |
| B37941 | Electrical / panel | Issued | Iss. May 6, 2024 | $2,500 | Install temporary power pole for fire repair — Service Upgrade |
| 92027 | Demolition | Applied | App. Mar 22, 2024 | $15,000 | Demo To Clean Up After Fire; Temp Power Pole |