San Francisco · Castro/Upper Market · Block/lot 2628/045 · San Francisco
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 18 homes completed, 14 permitted, 13 proposed or in review.
36 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
1,239 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
$1,671,000
Benchmark range: $1,420,000 – $1,922,000
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Francisco's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts (retrieved Oct 28, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of RH-2 as two-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 6.1 yr (first record Sep 22, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 20 mo. · 2 units · $1,400,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 3.6 yr (since Mar 16, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.6 yr. · 1 unit · $65,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Jun 23, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.3 yr. · 3 units · $1,250,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 3.3 yr (since Jun 30, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.3 yr. · 1 unit · $150,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.8 yr (first record Jan 24, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 3.2 yr. · 4 units · $175,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 3.1 yr (since Sep 28, 2023), with no new permit record in 3.1 yr. · 1 unit
Nearby plumbing / water heater / sewer (355 Buena Vista East Av): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202607225413 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby hvac / heat pump (187 Upper Tr): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610269890 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby electrical / panel (919 Cole St): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610269895 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby windows / doors / siding (164 Clifford Tr): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202602105656 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (164 Clifford Tr): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202602196202 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (158 Beaver St): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202605121104 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby plumbing / water heater / sewer (469 Frederick St): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202606042574 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby repair tied to a housing/code case (5 Clarendon Av): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202606294157 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (90 Ord St): Declared valuation changed from 0 to 250000
Record 202610219726 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (4431 19th St): Status changed from filed to issued
Record 202610219733 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (4431 19th St): Issued date changed from (blank) to 2026-10-23
Record 202610219733 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
466 Frederick St · 2 units · $320,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
4300 17th St · 1 unit · $780,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
129 Saturn St · 1 unit · $195,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
64 Woodland Ave · 1 unit · $1,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Francisco development graph →Active in "Issued" for 6.1 yr (first record Sep 22, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 20 mo. High-impact scale (2 housing units, $1,400,000 declared valuation across 4 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 5.9 yr (first record Nov 14, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.7 yr. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $1,700,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 8.8 yr (first record Jan 24, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.2 yr. High-impact scale (4 housing units, $175,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Applied" for 3.3 yr (first record Jun 23, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.3 yr. High-impact scale (3 housing units, $1,250,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 3.9 yr (first record Dec 16, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 6 mo. High-impact scale (1 housing unit, $7,425,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Entitled" for 3.1 yr (first record Sep 28, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.1 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 4,609 parcels
+19.3% YoY
City baseline: 90.9 / 1k
557 in trailing 24m
Includes 15 ADUs
HUD Metro Fair Market Rent · San Francisco, CA HUD Metro FMR Area
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($16,700/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($3,006/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$90,032/yr
Cash needed: $367,400
NOI: $11,301/yr
P&I: $8,444/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,600/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,312/mo | −$7,916/mo | -25.9% | $14,362/mo | −$7,923/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,600/mo | −$7,503/mo | -24.5% | $13,293/mo | −$7,305/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.2%/yr rent growth (capped by local ordinance ceiling of 4.2%/yr) | $3,816/mo | −$7,265/mo | -23.7% | $12,985/mo | −$6,877/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties. In San Francisco: San Francisco Rent Ordinance (Admin. Code Ch. 37) — annual allowable increase is 60% of Bay Area CPI (capped at 7%) for covered pre-June 1979 buildings. Official program rules ↗
Issued2 unitsSep 22, 2020 – Feb 12, 2025
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
admin permit to clarify addresses associated with 202009224673 are 247 upper terrace and 249 upper terrace.
per pa #202009224673, ad address 249 upper terrace to apn 2628/045.
demolish one story type five garage.
erect a four story type 5b construction two family dwelling and one basement.
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa#200707116523. all work is complete.
to comply with nov 202316834 - revision to pa# 2007-0711-6523 to complete inspection of work performed under original permit
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026 · Filed, issued, and status dates come from the Department of Building Inspection, which dates each status change.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 247 UPPER TER(2020-009146PRJ) | 2 to 4 · Owner | 2 (Dec 9, 2021) | — | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Francisco's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
247 UPPER TER; 249 UPPER TER
Source: San Francisco Planning / DataSF, Parcels – Active and Retired · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Zoning, permits, planning cases, and assessor data for this lot (SF Planning)
Look up block/lot 2628/045. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by block/lot 2628/045 (SF Treasurer & Tax Collector)
Search building permits, complaints, and inspections by address or block/lot
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.