El Sobrante 94803 · APN 430-251-023-7 · Unincorporated Contra Costa
Since — within ½ mile: 1 permitted, 1 proposed or in review.
2 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
No permit activity recorded within ½ mile.
$809,000
Benchmark range: $688,000 – $930,000
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
We don't have building permits for Unincorporated Contra Costa, so we can't show what has been permitted nearby.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with Unincorporated Contra Costa's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: Contra Costa County Department of Conservation and Development, Zoning (unincorporated Contra Costa) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Nov 9, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of R-10 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Entitled" for 2.6 yr (since Mar 19, 2024), with no new permit record in 2.6 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 6.4 yr (since Jul 1, 2020), with no new permit record in 6.4 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 6 yr (since Nov 17, 2020), with no new permit record in 6 yr. · 4 units
Permit issued and active for 5.6 yr (first record Mar 22, 2021), with no completion or new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 5.6 yr (since Mar 22, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit
In "Entitled" for 5.5 yr (since Apr 28, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.5 yr. · 1 unit
Latest published Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) update
Changed from $727,674 in September 2025 to $726,110 in September 2026.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94803 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $790,997 in September 2024 to $727,674 in September 2025.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94803 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $775,801 in September 2023 to $790,997 in September 2024.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Planning entitlement approved for 1 housing unit (CDSU22-00091)
Reported in 2024 Housing Element Annual Progress Report
ADU · Renter
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: parcel
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94803 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $817,971 in September 2022 to $775,801 in September 2023.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
Annual ZIP 94803 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $782,031 in September 2021 to $817,971 in September 2022.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
29 units · 4 affordable
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1 unit
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Annual ZIP 94803 home-value index checkpoint
Changed from $643,417 in September 2020 to $782,031 in September 2021.
Source: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) · Data provided by Zillow · Geography: ZIP 94803 (not a parcel appraisal)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full Unincorporated Contra Costa development graph →Active in "Entitled" for 2.6 yr (first record Mar 19, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.6 yr.
Active in "Entitled" for 4.5 yr (first record May 9, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 4.5 yr. High-impact scale (29 housing units, 4 deed-restricted affordable across 0 permits).
Active in "Entitled" for 6 yr (first record Nov 17, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 6 yr. High-impact scale (4 housing units, 1 deed-restricted affordable across 0 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 5.6 yr (first record Mar 22, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 5.6 yr.
Active in "Entitled" for 5.6 yr (first record Mar 22, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 5.6 yr.
Active in "Entitled" for 13 mo (first record Oct 1, 2025) with no new permit activity recorded in 13 mo.
HUD Small Area Fair Market Rent · ZIP 94803
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($8,100/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($1,458/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$35,596/yr
Cash needed: $178,200
NOI: $13,554/yr
P&I: $4,096/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $2,750/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $2,530/mo | −$3,282/mo | -22.1% | $7,112/mo | −$3,254/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $2,750/mo | −$2,966/mo | -20.0% | $6,582/mo | −$2,782/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.5%/yr rent growth (capped by AB 1482 ceiling of 8.6%/yr) | $2,915/mo | −$2,785/mo | -18.8% | $6,430/mo | −$2,423/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties.
Entitled1 unitsMar 19, 2024 – Mar 19, 2024
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
No building permits are recorded for this parcel since 2016.
Source: City of Richmond Planning & Building, PermitTrak (eTRAKiT permits, 1992 to April 2025) · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · Richmond's permits come from its eTRAKiT system, retired in 2025. Statuses are as of April 2025, and later permits are not published.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | —(CDSU22-00091) | ADU · Renter | 1 (Mar 19, 2024) | — | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026 · From Unincorporated Contra Costa's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: Contra Costa County Department of Conservation and Development, Zoning (unincorporated Contra Costa) · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026
1.65 acres
Assessor's classification for assessment purposes. This is not zoning.
1018 N RANCHO RD
Source: Contra Costa County Assessor / Department of Information Technology, Assessment Parcels · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Nov 9, 2026
County map with assessor parcel maps and zoning. Search parcel 430-251-023.
Search by parcel number 430-251-023 (Contra Costa County Treasurer-Tax Collector). Assessed value is not market value.
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.