San Francisco · Bayview Hunters Point · Block/lot 5273/003 · San Francisco
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 87 homes completed, 9 permitted, 8 proposed or in review (59 of them deed-restricted affordable); 1 demolition; 1 commercial or mixed-use project.
25 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
407 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$1,293,000
Benchmark range: $1,099,000 – $1,487,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 31, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Francisco's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts (retrieved Oct 31, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of RH-1 as single-family residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 3.4 yr (first record May 24, 2023), with no completion or new permit record in 18 mo. · 1 unit · $221,276 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 8.7 yr (first record Feb 26, 2018), with no completion or new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 1 unit · $520,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 5.6 yr (since Mar 19, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.6 yr. · 2 units · $205,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 5.5 yr (since Apr 14, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.5 yr. · 1 unit · $63,500 declared valuation
In "Approved" for 5.2 yr (since Aug 6, 2021), with no new permit record in 5.2 yr. · $16,000,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.1 yr (first record Oct 2, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 5.1 yr. · 1 unit · $85,000 declared valuation
Nearby plan revision / deferred submittal (1627 Newcomb Av): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610290085 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby repair tied to a housing/code case (4342 03rd St): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610290112 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby windows / doors / siding (5 Commer Ct): Declared valuation changed from 0 to 868600
Record 202506269547 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby plumbing / water heater / sewer (1570 Palou Av): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202608257122 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby plan revision / deferred submittal (1504 Jerrold Av): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610269889 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby commercial tenant improvement (4901 03rd St): Status changed from suspend to reinstated
Record 202601073401 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (4540 03rd St): Status changed from filed to issued
Record 202610199608 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (4540 03rd St): Issued date changed from (blank) to 2026-10-23
Record 202610199608 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
1663 Palou Ave · 1 unit · $10,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1750 Oakdale Ave · 4 units · $2,050,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1473 Palou Ave · 1 unit · $30,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1658b Kirkwood Ave · 1 unit · $5,000 valuation
Records span Aug 5, 2025 to Mar 17, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1654 Kirkwood Ave · 1 unit · $8,000 valuation
Records span Aug 5, 2025 to Mar 17, 2026 (2 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1636 Revere Ave · 1 unit · $20,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
4736a 03rd St · 1 unit · $15,420 valuation
Records span Apr 25, 2017 to Dec 11, 2025 (3 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Francisco development graph →Active in "Issued" for 3.4 yr (first record May 24, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 18 mo.
Active in "Approved" for 6.9 yr (first record Dec 20, 2019) with no new permit activity recorded in 5 yr. High-impact scale (29 housing units, $7,300,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 4.4 yr (first record Jun 2, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.6 yr. High-impact scale (2 housing units, $1,875,783 declared valuation across 4 permits).
Active in "Approved" for 2 yr (first record Nov 5, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2 yr. High-impact scale ($75,000,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Applied" for 3.2 yr (first record Aug 7, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.2 yr. High-impact scale (8 housing units, $4,200,000 declared valuation across 3 permits).
Active in "Approved" for 5.2 yr (first record Aug 6, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 5.2 yr. High-impact scale ($16,000,000 declared valuation across 3 permits).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 8,908 parcels
−0.8% YoY
City baseline: 91.1 / 1k
494 in trailing 24m
Includes 34 ADUs
HUD Metro Fair Market Rent · San Francisco, CA HUD Metro FMR Area
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($12,950/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,331/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$62,853/yr
Cash needed: $284,900
NOI: $15,726/yr
P&I: $6,548/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,600/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,312/mo | −$5,651/mo | -23.8% | $11,201/mo | −$5,628/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,600/mo | −$5,238/mo | -22.1% | $10,367/mo | −$5,010/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.2%/yr rent growth (capped by local ordinance ceiling of 4.2%/yr) | $3,816/mo | −$5,000/mo | -21.1% | $10,126/mo | −$4,582/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties. In San Francisco: San Francisco Rent Ordinance (Admin. Code Ch. 37) — annual allowable increase is 60% of Bay Area CPI (capped at 7%) for covered pre-June 1979 buildings. Official program rules ↗
Issued1 unitsMay 24, 2023 – Apr 17, 2025
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
new 2 bedroom attached adu remodel with addition, new kitchen, new plumbing, electrical & mechanical.
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 31, 2026 · Filed, issued, and status dates come from the Department of Building Inspection, which dates each status change.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | —(202305248534) | ADU · Renter | — | 1 (Apr 17, 2025) | — | — |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Francisco's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 31, 2026
1500A JERROLD AVE; 1500 JERROLD AVE
Source: San Francisco Planning / DataSF, Parcels – Active and Retired · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 31, 2026
Zoning, permits, planning cases, and assessor data for this lot (SF Planning)
Look up block/lot 5273/003. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by block/lot 5273/003 (SF Treasurer & Tax Collector)
Search building permits, complaints, and inspections by address or block/lot
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.