San Francisco · Treasure Island · Block/lot 8904/004 · San Francisco
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 295 homes completed, 250 permitted (123 of them deed-restricted affordable); 2 demolitions; 1 commercial or mixed-use project.
7 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
48 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
Source: · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Francisco's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts (retrieved Oct 28, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of TI-R as multifamily residential, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Applied" for 6.9 yr (since Dec 13, 2019), with no new permit record in 6.9 yr. · 85 units · $75,800,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 5.1 yr (first record Oct 4, 2021), with no completion or new permit record in 4.3 yr. · $208,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 5.1 yr (first record Oct 4, 2021), with no completion or new permit record in 3.5 yr. · $600,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.9 yr (first record Dec 20, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 2.6 yr. · $500,000 declared valuation
In "Entitled" for 2.4 yr (since May 16, 2024), with no new permit record in 2.4 yr. · 1 unit
Permit issued and active for 2 yr (first record Oct 16, 2024), with no completion or new permit record in 10 mo. · 100 units · $40,000,000 declared valuation
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (449 Avenue H): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610239811 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
1 Clipper Cove Wy · $521,697 valuation
Records span Aug 19, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026 (2 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
401 California Ave · 150 units · $79,391,871 valuation
Records span Jul 15, 2025 to Jul 1, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1 Ave Of The Palms · 117 units · 114 affordable · $55,000,000 valuation
Records span Oct 22, 2018 to May 6, 2026 (44 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
449 Ave H · $31,100,000 valuation
Records span Apr 24, 2025 to Jan 6, 2026 (8 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
150 04th Ti St · 100 units · $40,000,000 valuation
Records span Oct 16, 2024 to Jan 5, 2026 (2 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
29 Ave G · $15,000 valuation
Records span Mar 24, 2025 to Dec 30, 2025 (4 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
55 Bruton St · 178 units · 9 affordable · $84,400,000 valuation
Records span Dec 16, 2019 to Jan 30, 2025 (11 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
44 Treasure Island Rd · $500,000 valuation
Records span Dec 20, 2016 to Mar 28, 2024 (4 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
620 Ave I · $600,000 valuation
Records span Oct 4, 2021 to May 8, 2023 (4 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
470 Ave H · $100,000 valuation
Records span Apr 26, 2022 to Apr 27, 2023 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Remodel / interior alteration permit application filed (202209021858)
Current status: filed
priority processing - parcel c2.3 - shoring associated with priority permit new building under pa# 201912139567. · Declared valuation: $1,100,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Other permit application filed (202209021859)
Current status: filed
priority processing - parcel c2.3 - grading associated with priority permit new building under pa# 201912139567. · Declared valuation: $300,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
680 Ave I · $208,000 valuation
Records span Oct 4, 2021 to Jun 22, 2022 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Francisco development graph →Active in "Applied" for 6.9 yr (first record Dec 13, 2019) with no new permit activity recorded in 6.9 yr. High-impact scale (85 housing units, $75,800,000 declared valuation across 3 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 2 yr (first record Oct 16, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 10 mo. High-impact scale (100 housing units, $40,000,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 18 mo (first record Apr 24, 2025) with no new permit activity recorded in 10 mo. High-impact scale ($31,100,000 declared valuation across 8 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 9.9 yr (first record Dec 20, 2016) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.6 yr.
High-impact scale (178 housing units, 9 deed-restricted affordable, $84,400,000 declared valuation across 11 permits).
Active in "Entitled" for 2.4 yr (first record May 16, 2024) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.4 yr.
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 190 parcels
Small prior baseline
City baseline: 90.9 / 1k
15 in trailing 24m
Includes 0 ADUs
HUD Metro Fair Market Rent · San Francisco, CA HUD Metro FMR Area
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($5,500/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($990/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$8,856/yr
Cash needed: $121,000
NOI: $24,517/yr
P&I: $2,781/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,600/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,312/mo | −$1,152/mo | -11.4% | $4,920/mo | −$1,068/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,600/mo | −$738/mo | -7.3% | $4,554/mo | −$450/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.2%/yr rent growth (capped by local ordinance ceiling of 4.2%/yr) | $3,816/mo | −$501/mo | -5.0% | $4,448/mo | −$21/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties. In San Francisco: San Francisco Rent Ordinance (Admin. Code Ch. 37) — annual allowable increase is 60% of Bay Area CPI (capped at 7%) for covered pre-June 1979 buildings. Official program rules ↗
Applied85 unitsDec 13, 2019 – Dec 13, 2019
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
priority processing - parcel c2.3 - grading associated with priority permit new building under pa# 201912139567.
priority processing - parcel c2.3 - shoring associated with priority permit new building under pa# 201912139567.
mayor ed# 17-02. priority processing. ab-004 attached. to erect 6 stories, 1 basement, type 1-b, 76 residential unit building. (r-2,a-3,s-2) parcel-c2.3
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026 · Filed, issued, and status dates come from the Department of Building Inspection, which dates each status change.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Francisco's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
388 AVENUE OF THE PALMS
Source: San Francisco Planning / DataSF, Parcels – Active and Retired · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 28, 2026
Zoning, permits, planning cases, and assessor data for this lot (SF Planning)
Look up block/lot 8904/004. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by block/lot 8904/004 (SF Treasurer & Tax Collector)
Search building permits, complaints, and inspections by address or block/lot
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.