San Francisco · Mission · Block/lot 4014/002A · San Francisco
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 7 homes completed, 440 permitted, 540 proposed or in review (938 of them deed-restricted affordable); 1 demolition; 2 commercial or mixed-use projects.
27 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
739 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$1,341,000
Benchmark range: $1,140,000 – $1,542,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Francisco's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts (retrieved Oct 29, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of UMU as mixed use, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
In "Approved" for 4.8 yr (since Jan 10, 2022), with no new permit record in 4.3 yr. · 73 units · $45,125,341 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.9 yr (first record Dec 16, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 4.5 yr. · 8 units · $250,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.7 yr (first record Feb 28, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 4.5 yr. · 1 unit · $52,000 declared valuation
In "Approved" for 4.3 yr (since Jun 23, 2022), with no new permit record in 4.3 yr. · 2 units · $2,000,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 6.8 yr (first record Dec 26, 2019), with no completion or new permit record in 4 yr. · 3 units · $800,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 4.3 yr (since Jul 8, 2022), with no new permit record in 4 yr. · 1 unit · $500,000 declared valuation
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (1705 Mariposa St): Status changed from suspend to cancelled
Record 201908300360 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (853 Hampshire St): Status changed from suspend to cancelled
Record 202011068361 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (2693 22nd St): Status changed from reinstated to cancelled
Record 201603152101 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby plan revision / deferred submittal (2700 22nd St): Status changed from issued to complete
Record 202510288301 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby addition (adds square footage) (484 Kansas St): Declared valuation changed from 800000 to 1170000
Record 202606304377 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby commercial tenant improvement (1550 Bryant St): Status changed from filed to issued
Record 202609107928 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby commercial tenant improvement (1550 Bryant St): Issued date changed from (blank) to 2026-10-26
Record 202609107928 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby general repair (1550 Bryant St): Status changed from filed to issued
Record 202610059049 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby general repair (1550 Bryant St): Issued date changed from (blank) to 2026-10-26
Record 202610059049 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (717 De Haro St): Status changed from issued to expired
Record 202312212959 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby windows / doors / siding (711 York St): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202608116419 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (717 De Haro St): Status changed from filed to complete
Record 202610139324 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (717 De Haro St): Issued date changed from (blank) to 2026-10-22
Record 202610139324 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (717 De Haro St): Declared valuation changed from 0 to 1
Record 202610139324 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby solar / battery storage (262 Shotwell St): Description text was updated
Record S20261019773 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Francisco development graph →Active in "Approved" for 4.8 yr (first record Jan 10, 2022) with no new permit activity recorded in 4.3 yr. High-impact scale (73 housing units, 73 deed-restricted affordable, $45,125,341 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 5.3 yr (first record Jul 23, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 16 mo. High-impact scale (425 housing units, 425 deed-restricted affordable, $75,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 6.8 yr (first record Dec 26, 2019) with no new permit activity recorded in 4 yr. High-impact scale (3 housing units, $800,000 declared valuation across 3 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 8.3 yr (first record Jul 20, 2018) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.9 yr. High-impact scale (3 housing units, $1,800,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Applied" for 3 yr (first record Oct 27, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 17 mo. High-impact scale (2 housing units, $1,375,469 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Active in "Issued" for 7.5 yr (first record Apr 30, 2019) with no new permit activity recorded in 3.4 yr. High-impact scale (5 housing units, $2,700,000 declared valuation across 3 permits).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 7,293 parcels
+19.4% YoY
City baseline: 91.1 / 1k
825 in trailing 24m
Includes 37 ADUs
HUD Metro Fair Market Rent · San Francisco, CA HUD Metro FMR Area
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($13,400/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,412/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$66,114/yr
Cash needed: $294,800
NOI: $15,195/yr
P&I: $6,776/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,600/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,312/mo | −$5,923/mo | -24.1% | $11,580/mo | −$5,903/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,600/mo | −$5,510/mo | -22.4% | $10,718/mo | −$5,286/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.2%/yr rent growth (capped by local ordinance ceiling of 4.2%/yr) | $3,816/mo | −$5,272/mo | -21.5% | $10,469/mo | −$4,857/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties. In San Francisco: San Francisco Rent Ordinance (Admin. Code Ch. 37) — annual allowable increase is 60% of Bay Area CPI (capped at 7%) for covered pre-June 1979 buildings. Official program rules ↗
Approved73 units73 deed-restrictedJan 10, 2022 – Jun 29, 2022
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
priortiy processing: erect new 8-story sprinklered type i-b, 73 unit 100% affordaable housing with community rm, common laundry, management offices, hpp program area, lobby, outdoor common space, circulation, & supportive services space. per mayor ed 13-01.
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026 · Filed, issued, and status dates come from the Department of Building Inspection, which dates each status change.
| Report year | Project / record | Type | Entitled | Permitted | Completed | Deed-restricted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2530 18th Street(2021-009951PRJ) | 5+ · Renter | 73 (Jun 29, 2022) | — | — | 73 |
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Francisco's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
2530 18TH ST
Source: San Francisco Planning / DataSF, Parcels – Active and Retired · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Zoning, permits, planning cases, and assessor data for this lot (SF Planning)
Look up block/lot 4014/002A. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by block/lot 4014/002A (SF Treasurer & Tax Collector)
Search building permits, complaints, and inspections by address or block/lot
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.