San Francisco · Bayview Hunters Point · Block/lot 5230/002 · San Francisco
Since October 2024 within ½ mile: 157 homes completed, 26 permitted, 29 proposed or in review (169 of them deed-restricted affordable); 3 demolitions; 2 commercial or mixed-use projects.
10 projects with a record in this window, grouped by us from permits and State housing reports. Units are as proposed on each project's latest record and counted at its current stage.
228 permits within ½ mile since October 2024
The map shows new construction, ADUs, demolitions, additions, and renovations. Routine systems work (roofs, HVAC, water heaters) is counted but not mapped. Unit counts are as stated on permits.
$1,131,000
Benchmark range: $961,000 – $1,301,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: permits located by parcel, ½ mile radius · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Public-records benchmark estimate combining Zillow Home Value Index (Data provided by Zillow), Census ACS 5-year estimates, parcel land-use/lot characteristics, and issued building permits. Not an official appraisal.
No ADU or new-home permits recorded within ¼ mile in this window.
Permit counts, by the date issued (or applied, if not yet issued). Lot splits are planning cases, which we don't have.
We read public zoning and hazard maps against state law (ADUs: Gov. Code 66314; SB 9: Gov. Code 65852.21 and 66411.7). Local rules, title, tenancy history and site conditions can change the answer. Check with San Francisco's planning department before relying on it.
Sources: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts (retrieved Oct 29, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the State Responsibility Area (effective 2024-04-01) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · CAL FIRE Office of the State Fire Marshal, Fire Hazard Severity Zones in the Local Responsibility Area (map dated 2025-03-24) (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — flood hazard zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · FEMA, National Flood Hazard Layer — FIRM panels (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · California Geological Survey, Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones (retrieved Oct 26, 2026) · Zoning classes: our classification of PDR-2 as industrial, checked against the zone description on Oct 24, 2026
Chronological history of building permit applications and issuances, snapshot-dated status changes, State housing entitlements, surrounding development within ½ mile, and area home-value trends.
Permit issued and active for 6.6 yr (first record Mar 26, 2020), with no completion or new permit record in 4.1 yr. · $2,000,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 9.8 yr (since Dec 30, 2016), with no new permit record in 9.8 yr. · 2 units · $500,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.6 yr (first record Apr 7, 2017), with no completion or new permit record in 7.9 yr. · $2,200,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 7.5 yr (since Apr 19, 2019), with no new permit record in 7.5 yr. · $69,238,000 declared valuation
In "Applied" for 7.4 yr (since Jun 11, 2019), with no new permit record in 7.4 yr. · 1 unit · $15,000 declared valuation
Permit issued and active for 9.9 yr (first record Dec 15, 2016), with no completion or new permit record in 5.9 yr. · 2 units · $1,274,763 declared valuation
Nearby plumbing / water heater / sewer (301 Toland St): Status changed from suspend to cancelled
Record 202208180778 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby remodel / interior alteration (2207a 25th St): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610279968 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Nearby plan revision / deferred submittal (2015 Mckinnon Av): First appeared in published agency feed
Record 202610279977 · Detected between snapshots
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Snapshot diff within ½ mile
Remodel / interior alteration permit application filed (202608126452)
Current status: issued
recommencement and completion of work approved under pa#202101152818 · Declared valuation: $150,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Remodel / interior alteration permit issued (202608126452)
Recorded status: issued
recommencement and completion of work approved under pa#202101152818 · Declared valuation: $150,000
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Remodel / interior alteration permit application filed (202605111041)
Current status: cancelled
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa# 202101152818. all work is complete. · Declared valuation: $1
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Remodel / interior alteration permit application filed (202605111045)
Current status: issued
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa! 202003036076 & 202003267207. all work is complete. · Declared valuation: $1
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Remodel / interior alteration permit issued (202605111041)
Recorded status: cancelled
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa# 202101152818. all work is complete. · Declared valuation: $1
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Remodel / interior alteration permit issued (202605111045)
Recorded status: issued
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa! 202003036076 & 202003267207. all work is complete. · Declared valuation: $1
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
0 Situs To Be Assigned · $20,000 valuation
Records span Mar 18, 2026 to May 1, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1999 Jerrold Ave · $50,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
1901 Jerrold Ave · $26,000,000 valuation
Records span Dec 20, 2022 to Mar 9, 2026 (1 permit).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
2000 Marin St · $850,000 valuation
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
3550 03rd St · $7,750 valuation
Records span Sep 15, 2025 to Nov 5, 2025 (2 permits).
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits & HCD APR (grouped project within ½ mile)
Plan revision / deferred submittal permit application filed (202508193427)
Current status: withdrawn
revision to pa# 202211237175. change previously approved occupancy types for factory and storage occupancy to f-2 & s-2. (low hazards) change fire wall rating at property lines to thr rated construction. no other work to the rest of the bldg propsed under application. · Declared valuation: $1
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel
Cross-referenced intelligence from our historical development graph—connecting parcels, permits, entity-resolved builders, empirical review-time distributions, and neighborhood renovation trends.
Explore full San Francisco development graph →Active in "Issued" for 6.6 yr (first record Mar 26, 2020) with no new permit activity recorded in 4.1 yr. High-impact scale ($2,000,000 declared valuation across 7 permits).
Active in "Entitled" for 20 mo (first record Mar 12, 2025) with no new permit activity recorded in 20 mo. High-impact scale (25 housing units, 6 deed-restricted affordable across 0 permits).
Active in "Entitled" for 5.8 yr (first record Jan 14, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 5.8 yr. High-impact scale (25 housing units across 0 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 5.7 yr (first record Mar 3, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 19 mo. High-impact scale (25 housing units, 6 deed-restricted affordable, $5,000,000 declared valuation across 2 permits).
Active in "Approved" for 2.9 yr (first record Dec 15, 2023) with no new permit activity recorded in 2.9 yr. High-impact scale ($20,900,000 declared valuation across 6 permits).
Active in "Issued" for 5.7 yr (first record Jan 30, 2021) with no new permit activity recorded in 4.2 yr. High-impact scale ($36,000,000 declared valuation across 1 permit).
Substantial improvements (additions, interior remodels, ADUs, commercial TI, and new builds) across 8,908 parcels
−0.8% YoY
City baseline: 91.1 / 1k
494 in trailing 24m
Includes 34 ADUs
HUD Metro Fair Market Rent · San Francisco, CA HUD Metro FMR Area
HUD FY 2026 · 40th-percentile gross rentCensus ACS 5-year median gross rent (all bedroom counts combined):
Area home-value benchmarks (not an appraisal)
ZIP & neighborhood mediansUnder California Proposition 13, the seller's historical assessed value does not carry over to a buyer. On sale, the parcel is reassessed at the purchase price: 1.00% base rate ($11,300/yr) + local voter-approved bond debt ($2,034/yr) + fixed direct levies/Mello-Roos ($450/yr).
Insurance & hazard context:
−$50,894/yr
Cash needed: $248,600
NOI: $17,673/yr
P&I: $5,714/mo
For $0/mo net cash flow
At $3,600/mo rent
| Scenario | Assumptions | Year 1 Rent | Year 1 Cash Flow | Cash-on-Cash | Break-Even Rent | Year 5 Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | −8% starting rent, +3% vacancy, +3% combined maintenance/CapEx, 1.5%/yr rent growth | $3,312/mo | −$4,655/mo | -22.5% | $9,810/mo | −$4,618/mo |
| Base (your inputs) | Your entered assumptions, 3.0%/yr rent growth | $3,600/mo | −$4,241/mo | -20.5% | $9,080/mo | −$4,000/mo |
| Optimistic (cap-limited) | +6% starting rent, 3% vacancy, 4.2%/yr rent growth (capped by local ordinance ceiling of 4.2%/yr) | $3,816/mo | −$4,004/mo | -19.3% | $8,869/mo | −$3,572/mo |
Rental regulatory context (informational only — not legal advice):
California AB 1482 (Tenant Protection Act, Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual rent increases at 5% + local CPI (max 10%) on covered properties. In San Francisco: San Francisco Rent Ordinance (Admin. Code Ch. 37) — annual allowable increase is 60% of Bay Area CPI (capped at 7%) for covered pre-June 1979 buildings. Official program rules ↗
IssuedMar 26, 2020 – Sep 26, 2022
We group related permits and State housing reports into projects. That grouping is our inference, not an official record.
recommencement and completion of work approved under pa#202101152818
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa! 202003036076 & 202003267207. all work is complete.
to obtain final inspection for work approved under pa# 202101152818. all work is complete.
revision to pa# 202211237175. change previously approved occupancy types for factory and storage occupancy to f-2 & s-2. (low hazards) change fire wall rating at property lines to thr rated construction. no other work to the rest of the bldg propsed under application.
revision to pa# 202101152818 alter envelope (warehouse) at southeast corner of lot build up to lot line. floor plan altered accordingly for exits. no other work to the rest of the bldg proposed under application.
erect 2-story type v, restaurant/warehouse. pa #202003267207 emergency demo
emergency order #110837-e. demolish 1-story industrial/restaurant building
to comply with nov #202021824 clean up fire debris from property and life safety, not to demo remaining structure
Source: San Francisco Department of Building Inspection, Building Permits · Geography: parcel (APN) · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026 · Filed, issued, and status dates come from the Department of Building Inspection, which dates each status change.
No housing activity reported to the State for this parcel (2018–2025 reports).
Source: California HCD, Housing Element Annual Progress Report — Table A2 · Geography: project (parcel) · Retrieved Oct 26, 2026 · From San Francisco's Housing Element Annual Progress Reports. A project can appear in several report years as it moves from entitlement to permit to completion.
Source: San Francisco Planning, Zoning Map – Zoning Districts · Geography: zoning district polygon at parcel point · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
16 TOLAND ST
Source: San Francisco Planning / DataSF, Parcels – Active and Retired · Geography: parcel · Retrieved Oct 29, 2026
Zoning, permits, planning cases, and assessor data for this lot (SF Planning)
Look up block/lot 5230/002. Assessed value is not market value.
Search by block/lot 5230/002 (SF Treasurer & Tax Collector)
Search building permits, complaints, and inspections by address or block/lot
The official flood hazard map for this location. Our reading of it is under What could be built here.
This site does not show owner names.